Draft:VoteHub
Submission declined on 1 August 2026 by Accesscrawl (talk).
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Declined by Sulfurboy 24 hours ago.
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Comment: Fails WP:GNG or WP:NCORP. The draft still reads a bit like promotion. If you have any connection to the subject, please review WP:COI. Accesscrawl (talk) 19:45, 1 August 2026 (UTC)
| Available in | English |
|---|---|
| Founded | July 2024 |
| Country of origin | United States |
| Created by | Garrett Herrin and Luke Wines |
| CEO | Garrett Herrin |
| URL | votehub |
VoteHub is an American political forecasting website that was founded in 2024 by Garrett Herrin and Luke Wines. The website predicts Senate, House, and governor races at a precinct level scale.
History
[edit]VoteHub was co-founded in 2024 by Garrett Herrin and Luke Wines. When developing the website, their stated goal was to provide innovative coverage of elections, polling aggregation, and analysis of American politics.[1] Since 2024, VoteHub has expanded their operations, and engaged in newer and more ambitious ventures, including incorporating a tracker of all notable endorsement in the House of Representatives races and a model for the most prominent races of the 2026 midterm cycle.[2]
Election predictions
[edit]One of VoteHub's most significant projects is the aforementioned model. Their model for House, Senate, and gubernatorial elections is quantitative, based upon data and analytics for the midterms. VoteHub hosts two dueling predictions: their "legacy" forecast and their "complete" forecast. VoteHub's model uses finance information, polling, political leaning, and of candidates in their quantitative predictions as part of their "legacy" forecast.[3] Their "complete" forecast combines the contents of the "legacy" forecast with qualitative forecasting predictions from Sabato's Crystal Ball, Inside Elections, and The Cook Political Report, as well as betting market odds from Kalshi.[4] VoteHub believes its "complete" forecast provides better accuracy, but may contribute to a feedback loop because the "complete" forecast incorporates data from betting markets, while the betting markets may be affected by VoteHub's forecast data. VoteHub preserves a "legacy" forecast to provide a foil for the "complete" forecast and help identify the effects of any feedback loop.[3]
VoteHub's forecasting is also distinct in the sense that it predicts county and precinct level predictions, unlike any other quantitative or qualitative political model. Their polling aggregation is also distinct in the sense that it only uses strictly non-partisan data, and not internal polling released by partisan sponsors.[5] In 2026, VoteHub's model will predict over 506 different elections from across the United States, with almost all showing detail going down to the precinct level.
Election analysis
[edit]The other main function of the VoteHub website is to provide political analysis on American elections.[6] VoteHub has gained recognition for their analysis of events like the Voting Rights decisions from the Supreme Court.[7] For example, VoteHub released an extensive dissection of the effects of the SCOTUS decision in Louisiana vs. Callais, detailing how that decision has boosted Black voter participation in primaries before the 2026 election.[8][9] In early 2026, VoteHub also released an analysis of the political partisanship of athletes involved in major American sports, analyzing which sports players are more conservative or liberal.[10]
VoteHub dissects early voting trend data for specific races to use in its commentary regarding future election results. The website gained much attention for its analysis of early turnout in the Texas Senate primary elections.[11][12]
VoteHub has received attention from significant groups within the political arena. The betting market website Kalshi uses polling averages from VoteHub and displays them on their website.[4] In 2024, political analyst Nate Silver praised VoteHub's use of exclusively high-quality polls on their presidential polling aggregations.[13] As well, the VoteHub website has officially partnered with Harvard, working together to give opportunities to Harvard students.[14] VoteHub's work has also been incorporated into studies from well regarded educational institutions, such as Claremont McKenna College, who has dissected voting patterns that VoteHub has provided insight to.[15]
References
[edit]- ^ Herrin, Garrett. "What is VoteHub?". VoteHub. Retrieved 2026-06-26.
- ^ "2026 Endorsement Tracker". VoteHub. 2026-01-08. Retrieved 2026-06-26.
- ^ a b "VoteHub's 2026 Midterms Forecast". VoteHub. Retrieved 2026-07-31.
- ^ a b Sen, Anirben. "Kalshi debuts US midterms hub for election forecasts and polling data". The Mighty 790 KFGO | KFGO. Retrieved 2026-07-31.
- ^ Morris, G. Elliott (2025-07-01). "How to rig a polling average". www.gelliottmorris.com. Retrieved 2026-07-31.
- ^ ForbesTV. "Tens Of Millions Of Americans Voted Early— Here's What The Data Is Telling Us Ahead Of Election Day". Forbes. Retrieved 2026-07-31.
- ^ "Virginia Vows to Fight Court Ruling Striking Down Democrats' Map". The New Republic. ISSN 0028-6583. Retrieved 2026-07-31.
- ^ Walker, Adria R. (2026-07-30). "Republican disenfranchisement bid drives Black voters to polls, study finds". The Guardian. ISSN 0261-3077. Retrieved 2026-07-31.
- ^ Gans, Jared (2026-04-30). "Here's how the Supreme Court's voting rights ruling could hurt Democrats in the South". The Hill. Retrieved 2026-07-31.
- ^ Mastrangelo, Dominick (2026-01-21). "Study reveals political leanings of pro athletes in MLB, NFL, WNBA and more". The Hill. Retrieved 2026-07-31.
- ^ Garcia, Alexis; Prazan, Phil; Heinz • •, Frank (2026-03-03). "North Texas voters flood polls early, boosting turnout in both parties". NBC 5 Dallas-Fort Worth. Retrieved 2026-07-31.
- ^ Mueller, Julia (2026-03-01). "Texas Senate primaries loom as major test for midterms: What to know". The Hill. Retrieved 2026-07-31.
- ^ McKown-Dawson, Eli (2024-10-16). "Are Republican pollsters "flooding the zone?"". www.natesilver.net. Retrieved 2026-07-31.
- ^ "VoteHub". iop.harvard.edu. Retrieved 2026-07-31.
- ^ "Ken Miller co-authors Inland Empire "Report of the Region" | Claremont McKenna College". www.cmc.edu. Retrieved 2026-07-31.
Category:American political websites Category:Internet properties established in 2021 Category:2021 establishments in the United States Category:News aggregators Category:Aggregation websites
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