Draft:VoteHub
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This draft is not written from a neutral point of view. Wikipedia articles must be written neutrally in a formal, impersonal, and dispassionate way. They should not read like a blog post, advertisement, or fan page. Rewrite the draft to remove:
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This draft has been resubmitted and is currently awaiting re-review. |  |
Submission declined on 1 August 2026 by Accesscrawl (talk). This draft's references do not show that the subject meets Wikipedia's criteria for inclusion for organizations and companies. The draft requires multiple published secondary sources that:
Declined by Accesscrawl 3 days ago.
| |
This draft's references do not show that the subject meets Wikipedia's criteria for inclusion. The draft requires multiple published secondary sources that:
This draft is not written from a neutral point of view. Wikipedia articles must be written neutrally in a formal, impersonal, and dispassionate way. They should not read like a blog post, advertisement, or fan page. Rewrite the draft to remove:
Declined by Sulfurboy 4 days ago.
| |
Comment: Fails WP:GNG or WP:NCORP. The draft still reads a bit like promotion. If you have any connection to the subject, please review WP:COI. Accesscrawl (talk) 19:45, 1 August 2026 (UTC)
| Available in | English |
|---|---|
| Founded | July 2024 |
| Country of origin | United States |
| Created by | Garrett Herrin and Luke Wines |
| CEO | Garrett Herrin |
| URL | votehub |
VoteHub is an American political forecasting website that was founded in 2024 by Garrett Herrin and Luke Wines. The website predicts Senate, House, and governor races at a precinct level scale.
History
[edit]VoteHub was co-founded in 2024 by Garrett Herrin and Luke Wines. When developing the website, their stated goal was to provide innovative coverage of elections, polling aggregation, and analysis of American politics.[1] VoteHub's webiste indicates it has expanded their operation and ventures since 2024, including incorporating a tracker that identifies notable endorsement in the House of Representatives races and a model for the most prominent races of the 2026 midterm cycle.[2]
Election predictions
[edit]One of VoteHub's projects is the aforementioned elections model. Their model for House, Senate, and gubernatorial elections is quantitative, based upon data and analytics for the midterms.[3] VoteHub hosts two dueling predictions: a "legacy" forecast and a "complete" forecast. VoteHub's model uses finance information, pollin and political leaning of candidates in their quantitative predictions as part of the "legacy" forecast.[4][3] The "complete" forecast combines the contents of the "legacy" forecast with qualitative forecasting predictions from Sabato's Crystal Ball, Inside Elections, and The Cook Political Report, as well as betting market odds from Kalshi.[5] VoteHub believes its "complete" forecast provides better accuracy, but may contribute to a feedback loop because the "complete" forecast incorporates data from betting markets, while in turn the betting markets may be affected by VoteHub's forecast data. VoteHub's "legacy" forecast is intended to contrast with the "complete" forecast to identify the effects of any feedback loop.[4]
VoteHub's forecasting includes county and precinct level predictions and its polling aggregation uses strictly non-partisan data. It excludes internal polling data released by partisan sponsors, unlike other polling aggregates.[6]
Election analysis
[edit]The website also provides political analysis on American elections and other events. VoteHub has analyzed such events as the U.S. Supreme Court's votng rights decisions.[7] VoteHub analyzed he effects of the SCOTUS decision in Louisiana vs. Callais, detailing how that decision has boosted Black voter participation in primaries before the 2026 election.[8][9] VoteHub also released an analysis of the political partisanship of athletes involved in major American sports, analyzing which sports players are more conservative or liberal.[10]
VoteHub dissects early voting trend data for specific races to use in its commentary regarding future election results.[11] They have gained notoriety from dissecting the Texas Senate Primaries, as well as the LA mayor primary.[12][13][14]
The betting market website Kalshi uses polling averages from VoteHub's election analysies and displays them on their website.[5] In 2024, political analyst Nate Silver praised VoteHub's use of "high-quality polls" on their presidential polling aggregations.[15] Colleges and universities, including Claremont McKenna College, have also incorporated VoteHub's analysis information in their studies.[16]
The VoteHub website has officially partnered with Harvard and John Hopkins University, working together to give opportunities to students at both schools.[17][18]
References
[edit]- ↑ Herrin, Garrett. "What is VoteHub?". VoteHub. Retrieved 2026-06-26.
- ↑ "2026 Endorsement Tracker". VoteHub. 2026-01-08. Retrieved 2026-06-26.
- 1 2 Donnini, Zachary; McComb, Ryan; Vishwanath, Varun; Park, Austin; Wines, Luke; Herrin, Garrett (April 2026). "The VoteHub 2026 Midterm Forecasting Model" (PDF). VoteHub. Retrieved August 3, 2026.
{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: url-status (link) - 1 2 "VoteHub's 2026 Midterms Forecast". VoteHub. Retrieved 2026-07-31.
- 1 2 Sen, Anirben. "Kalshi debuts US midterms hub for election forecasts and polling data". The Mighty 790 KFGO. Retrieved 2026-07-31.
- ↑ Morris, G. Elliott (2025-07-01). "How to rig a polling average". www.gelliottmorris.com. Retrieved 2026-07-31.
- ↑ "Virginia Vows to Fight Court Ruling Striking Down Democrats' Map". The New Republic. ISSN 0028-6583. Retrieved 2026-07-31.
- ↑ Walker, Adria R. (2026-07-30). "Republican disenfranchisement bid drives Black voters to polls, study finds". The Guardian. ISSN 0261-3077. Retrieved 2026-07-31.
- ↑ Gans, Jared (2026-04-30). "Here's how the Supreme Court's voting rights ruling could hurt Democrats in the South". The Hill. Retrieved 2026-07-31.
- ↑ Mastrangelo, Dominick (2026-01-21). "Study reveals political leanings of pro athletes in MLB, NFL, WNBA and more". The Hill. Retrieved 2026-07-31.
- ↑ ForbesTV. "Tens Of Millions Of Americans Voted Early— Here's What The Data Is Telling Us Ahead Of Election Day". Forbes. Retrieved 2026-07-31.
- ↑ Garcia, Alexis; Prazan, Phil; Heinz • •, Frank (2026-03-03). "North Texas voters flood polls early, boosting turnout in both parties". NBC 5 Dallas-Fort Worth. Retrieved 2026-07-31.
- ↑ Mueller, Julia (2026-03-01). "Texas Senate primaries loom as major test for midterms: What to know". The Hill. Retrieved 2026-07-31.
- ↑ White, Jeremy B.; Jones, Blake; Mason, Melanie; Gardiner, Dustin (2026-06-05). "Wealth-tax backlash, data nerds and Newsom's regret". POLITICO. Retrieved 2026-08-04.
- ↑ McKown-Dawson, Eli (2024-10-16). "Are Republican pollsters "flooding the zone?"". www.natesilver.net. Retrieved 2026-07-31.
- ↑ "Ken Miller co-authors Inland Empire "Report of the Region" | Claremont McKenna College". www.cmc.edu. Retrieved 2026-07-31.
- ↑ "VoteHub – Jobs". Imagine | Johns Hopkins University. Retrieved 2026-08-04.
- ↑ "VoteHub". iop.harvard.edu. Retrieved 2026-07-31.
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