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// Workers AI · dad joke modeWhat did the poll say to the 2028 Queensland election? "You're voted most likely.

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From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

In the lead-up to the 2028 Queensland state election, a number of polling companies have conducted opinion polls. These polls collect data on parties' primary vote, leaders' favourability, and individual electoral district results.

Graphical summary

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Primary vote

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A graph showing the opinion polling in the leadup to the 2028 Queensland state election.

Two-party-preferred

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A graph showing the two-party-preferred opinion polling in the leadup to the 2028 Queensland state election.

Voting intention

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Date Polling firm Client Sample
size		 Primary vote 2PP vote
LNP ALP GRN ONP KAP IND OTH LNP ALP
May – June 2026 Resolve[1][2][a] Brisbane Times 868 30% 24% 10% 24% 0% 5% 6% 56% 44%
27 May – 3 Jun 2026 DemosAU/Premier National[3][4] N/a 1,033 34% 25% 10% 24% N/a N/a 7% 58% 42%
16 May 2026 The ALP wins the Stafford by-election
Mar – Apr 2026 Resolve[5] Brisbane Times 870 30% 28% 11% 17% 2% 10% 4% N/a N/a
10 – 20 Feb 2026 DemosAU/Premier National[6] N/a 1,044 34% 28% 10% 21% N/a N/a 7% 56% 44%
Jan – Feb 2026 Resolve[7][a] The Age 868 34% 26% 10% 16% 1% 9% 4% 54.6% 45.4%
24 Nov – 8 Dec 2025 RedBridge/Accent[8] Australian Financial Review 818 40% 27% 12% 16% N/a N/a 5% 56% 44%
Nov – Dec 2025 Resolve[9][10][a] Brisbane Times 803 33% 30% 11% 9% 2% 8% 8% 51.1% 48.9%
29 Nov 2025 The LNP defeats the KAP in the Hinchinbrook by-election
13 – 20 Oct 2025 DemosAU/Premier National[11][12][13] N/a 1,006 37% 29% 12% 14% N/a N/a 8% 54% 46%
Sep – Oct 2025 Resolve[14][15][a] Brisbane Times 868 33% 32% 10% 9% 1% 7% 7% 49.3% 50.7%
Jul – Aug 2025 Resolve[16][17][a] Brisbane Times 869 34% 32% 10% 8% 1% 8% 6% 49.5% 50.5%
4 – 9 Jul 2025 DemosAU/Premier National[18][19] N/a 1,027 40% 28% 13% 12% N/a N/a 7% 55% 45%
17 – 25 Mar 2025 RedBridge/Accent[20] Australian Financial Review 1,507 44% 27% 12% 10% N/a N/a 7% 56.5% 43.5%
Jan – Apr 2025 Resolve[21] Brisbane Times 934 45% 22% 12% 8% 1% 7% 5% 60% 40%
10 – 14 Feb 2025 DemosAU/Premier National[22][23] N/a 1,004 40% 30% 12% 10% N/a N/a 8% 56% 44%
26 Oct 2024 2024 election 41.5% 32.6% 9.9% 8.0% 2.4% 1.7% 3.9% 53.8% 46.2%

By language

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Only English spoken at home

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Date Polling firm Client Sample
size		 Primary vote
LNP ALP GRN ONP KAP IND OTH
27 May – 3 Jun 2026 DemosAU/Premier National[4] N/a N/a 36% 22% 10% 25% N/a N/a 10%

Other language spoken at home

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Date Polling firm Client Sample
size		 Primary vote
LNP ALP GRN ONP KAP IND OTH
27 May – 3 Jun 2026 DemosAU/Premier National[4] N/a N/a 19% 45% 12% 21% N/a N/a 3%

Approval polling

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Preferred premier

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Date Polling firm Client Sample
size		 Party leaders Net
Crisafulli Miles Don't know
May – June 2026 Resolve[1] Brisbane Times 868 44% 20% 36% +24
27 May – 3 Jun 2026 DemosAU/Premier National[3][4] N/a 1,033 47% 30% 23% +17
Mar – Apr 2026 Resolve[5] Brisbane Times 870 42% 26% 32% +16
10 – 20 Feb 2026 DemosAU/Premier National[6] N/a 1,044 43% 32% 25% +11
Jan – Feb 2026 Resolve[7] The Age 868 44% 23% 33% +21
Nov–Dec 2025 Resolve[9][10] Brisbane Times 803 35% 34% 31% +1
13–20 Oct 2025 DemosAU/Premier National[11][12][13] N/a 1,006 44% 32% 24% +12
Sep–Oct 2025 Resolve[14] Brisbane Times 868 39% 22% 39% +17
Jul–Aug 2025 Resolve[16] Brisbane Times 869 40% 25% 35% +15
Jan–Apr 2025 Resolve[21] Brisbane Times 934 44% 22% 34% +22

Satisfaction ratings

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Date Polling firm Client Sample
size		 Crisafulli Miles
Pos. Neg. DK Net Pos. Neg. DK Net
May – June 2026 Resolve[1] Brisbane Times 868 N/a N/a N/a +16% N/a N/a N/a –11%
Mar–Apr 2026 Resolve[5] Brisbane Times 870 N/a N/a N/a +19% N/a N/a N/a –5%
10 – 20 Feb 2026 DemosAU/Premier National[6] N/a 1,044 39% 23% 38% +16% 27% 37% 36% –10%
24 Nov – 8 Dec 2025 RedBridge/Accent[8] Australian Financial Review 818 54% 30% 16% +24% 28% 54% 18% –26%
Nov–Dec 2025 Resolve[9][10] Brisbane Times 803 N/a N/a N/a +16% N/a N/a N/a +5%
Sep–Oct 2025 Resolve[14] Brisbane Times 868 N/a N/a N/a +17% N/a N/a N/a –2%
Jul–Aug 2025 Resolve[16] Brisbane Times 869 N/a N/a N/a +20% N/a N/a N/a –1%
17–25 Mar 2025 RedBridge/Accent[20] Australian Financial Review 1,507 46% 17% 37% +29% 22% 41% 37% –19%

Sub-state results

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Inner Brisbane

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Date Polling firm Client Sample
size		 Primary vote 2PP vote
LNP ALP GRN ONP KAP IND OTH LNP ALP
24 Nov – 8 Dec 2025 RedBridge/Accent[8] Australian Financial Review N/a 31% 42% 16% 8% N/a N/a 3% 41% 59%
Oct 2025 RedBridge/Accent[24][25] Australian Financial Review N/a 38% 34% 14% N/a N/a N/a 14% 46% 54%

Brisbane

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Date Polling firm Client Sample
size		 Primary vote 2PP vote
LNP ALP GRN ONP KAP IND OTH LNP ALP
27 May – 3 Jun 2026 DemosAU/Premier National[3][4] N/a N/a 38% 29% 16% 14% N/a N/a 3% N/a N/a
10 – 20 Feb 2026 DemosAU/Premier National[6] N/a N/a 37% 34% 15% 12% N/a N/a 2% 50% 50%
13–20 Oct 2025 DemosAU/Premier National[11][12][13] N/a N/a 35% 36% 20% 5% N/a N/a 4% 45% 55%

Outer Brisbane

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Date Polling firm Client Sample
size		 Primary vote 2PP vote
LNP ALP GRN ONP KAP IND OTH LNP ALP
24 Nov – 8 Dec 2025 RedBridge/Accent[8] Australian Financial Review N/a 37% 29% 14% 16% N/a N/a 4% 53% 47%

South East Queensland

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Date Polling firm Client Sample
size		 Primary vote 2PP vote
LNP ALP GRN ONP KAP IND OTH LNP ALP
27 May – 3 Jun 2026 DemosAU/Premier National[3][4] N/a N/a 34% 26% 11% 23% N/a N/a 6% N/a N/a
10 – 20 Feb 2026 DemosAU/Premier National[6] N/a N/a 34% 28% 11% 19% N/a N/a 8% 55% 45%
13–20 Oct 2025 DemosAU/Premier National[11][12][13] N/a N/a 39% 29% 11% 13% N/a N/a 8% 55% 45%
Oct 2025 RedBridge/Accent[24][25] Australian Financial Review 1,013 36% 35% 13% 11% N/a N/a 5% 48% 52%
26 Oct 2024 2024 election 40.4% 35.9% 12.1% 6.1% — — 5.5% 50.3% 49.7%

Provincial cities

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Date Polling firm Client Sample
size		 Primary vote 2PP vote
LNP ALP GRN ONP KAP IND OTH LNP ALP
24 Nov – 8 Dec 2025 RedBridge/Accent[8] Australian Financial Review N/a 44% 24% 8% 19% N/a N/a 5% 61% 39%

Regional Queensland

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Date Polling firm Client Sample
size		 Primary vote 2PP vote
LNP ALP GRN ONP KAP IND OTH LNP ALP
27 May – 3 Jun 2026 DemosAU/Premier National[3][4] N/a N/a 34% 21% 4% 32% N/a N/a 9% N/a N/a
10 – 20 Feb 2026 DemosAU/Premier National[6] N/a N/a 33% 24% 6% 29% N/a N/a 8% 60% 40%
13–20 Oct 2025 DemosAU/Premier National[11][12][13] N/a N/a 38% 25% 7% 21% N/a N/a 9% 60% 40%

Rural communities

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Date Polling firm Client Sample
size		 Primary vote 2PP vote
LNP ALP GRN ONP KAP IND OTH LNP ALP
24 Nov – 8 Dec 2025 RedBridge/Accent[8] Australian Financial Review N/a 44% 23% 10% 16% N/a N/a 7% 61% 39%

Notes

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  1. 1 2 3 4 5 Two-party preferred result estimated by Kevin Bonham.

References

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  1. 1 2 3 Dennien, Matt (16 June 2026). "One Nation's Queensland support passes 1998 breakthrough to equal Miles' Labor". The Brisbane Times. Retrieved 17 June 2026.{{cite news}}: CS1 maint: url-status (link)
  2. ↑ Bonham, Kevin [@kevinbonham] (17 June 2026). "#ResolvePM Qld (state) L-NP 30 ALP 24 ON 24 Grn 10 IND 5 Other 6 (shown as 0 on graph in error). My 2PP estimate 56.0 to L-NP (+3.6)" (Tweet). Retrieved 17 June 2026 – via X (formerly Twitter).
  3. 1 2 3 4 5 Johnson, Hayden (8 June 2026). "Qld Labor primary vote plunges below 2012 wipe-out as One Nation surges". Courier Mail.
  4. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 "DemosAU/Premier National Queensland Poll" (PDF). DemosAU. 8 June 2026. Retrieved 10 June 2026.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: url-status (link)
  5. 1 2 3 "Crisafulli's LNP falls to new low as third parties lift high-water mark". The Brisbane Times. Retrieved 22 April 2026.
  6. 1 2 3 4 5 6 "DemosAU/Premier National Queensland Poll" (PDF). DemosAU. 23 February 2026. Archived from the original (PDF) on 23 February 2026. Retrieved 23 February 2026.
  7. 1 2 "One Nation and Crisafulli climb in Queensland as Labor Support Wanes". The Age. Archived from the original on 18 February 2026. Retrieved 18 February 2026.
  8. 1 2 3 4 5 6 "RedBridge Group and Accent Research Queensland state poll" (PDF). RedBridge Group/Accent Research. 10 December 2025. Archived from the original (PDF) on 27 December 2025. Retrieved 27 December 2025.
  9. 1 2 3 Dennien, Matt (9 December 2025). "Voters warming to Miles as Crisafulli's popularity continues to slip". Brisbane Times. Archived from the original on 9 December 2025. Retrieved 9 December 2025.
  10. 1 2 3 Bonham, Kevin [@kevinbonham] (9 December 2025). "ResolvePM Qld (state) LNP 33 ALP 30 Grn 11 ON 9 KAP 2 IND 8* other 8 (*likely overstated)" (Tweet). Retrieved 9 December 2025 – via X (formerly Twitter).{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: deprecated archival service (link)
  11. 1 2 3 4 5 "Queensland Poll" (PDF). DemosAU. 27 October 2025. Archived from the original (PDF) on 6 November 2025. Retrieved 6 November 2025.
  12. 1 2 3 4 5 "LNP maintains clear lead over Labor in Queensland – new poll". DemosAU. 27 October 2025. Archived from the original on 29 October 2025. Retrieved 29 October 2025.
  13. 1 2 3 4 5 Johnson, Hayden (27 October 2025). "Qld voters deliver verdict on Crisafulli government". The Courier Mail. Retrieved 27 October 2025.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: deprecated archival service (link)
  14. 1 2 3 Dennien, Matt (15 October 2025). "Miles sheds support but major parties neck and neck". Brisbane Times. Retrieved 15 October 2025.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: deprecated archival service (link)
  15. ↑ Bonham, Kevin [@kevinbonham] (16 October 2025). "ResolvePM Qld (state) LNP 33 ALP 32 Grn 10 ON 9 IND 7* KAP 1 other 7 (*likely overstated)" (Tweet). Retrieved 27 October 2025 – via X (formerly Twitter).{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: deprecated archival service (link)
  16. 1 2 3 Dennien, Matt (21 August 2025). "'Serious hit': LNP support falls from post-election high". Brisbane Times. Archived from the original on 21 August 2025. Retrieved 21 August 2025.
  17. ↑ Bonham, Kevin [@kevinbonham] (21 August 2025). "ResolvePM Qld (state) LNP 34 (-11) ALP 32 (+10) Grn 10 (-2) ON 8 (-) IND 8* (+1) KAP 1 (-) other 6 (+1) (*likely overstated)" (Tweet). Retrieved 27 October 2025 – via X (formerly Twitter).{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: deprecated archival service (link)
  18. ↑ "Queensland State and Federal Voting Intention July 04-09 2025". DemosAU. 10 July 2025. Archived from the original (PDF) on 14 July 2025. Retrieved 14 July 2025.
  19. ↑ "Crisafulli and Albanese enjoy honeymoon periods". DemosAU. 14 July 2025. Retrieved 14 July 2025.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: deprecated archival service (link)
  20. 1 2 Johnson, Hayden (31 March 2025). "King David: Premier Crisafulli now the most popular leader in Australia". The Courier Mail. Retrieved 19 October 2025.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: deprecated archival service (link)
  21. 1 2 Atfield, Cameron (21 April 2025). "Crisafulli flies high, while Miles – and Dutton – lag". Brisbane Times. Archived from the original on 23 July 2025. Retrieved 21 August 2025.
  22. ↑ "Queensland State Voting Intention Poll". DemosAU. 19 February 2025. Archived from the original (PDF) on 14 July 2025. Retrieved 14 July 2025.
  23. ↑ "New Queensland poll shows modest improvement for Federal Labor". DemosAU. 19 February 2025. Retrieved 14 July 2025.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: deprecated archival service (link)
  24. 1 2 Johnson, Hayden; O'Malley, Brendan (19 October 2025). "Exclusive Redbridge-Accent polling reveals Premier David Crisafulli's fail to win over SEQ voters". The Courier Mail. Retrieved 19 October 2025.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: deprecated archival service (link)
  25. 1 2 Bowe, William (20 October 2025). "Queensland: polls, Hinchinbrook by-election and redistribution latest". The Poll Bludger. Retrieved 20 October 2025.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: deprecated archival service (link)

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