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2010 United States House of Representatives elections in Colorado

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From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
(Redirected from Mike Fallon)

2010 United States House of Representatives elections in Colorado
← 2008
November 2, 2010 (2010-11-02)
2012 →
All 7 Colorado seats to the United States House of Representatives
Registered2,477,958[1]
Turnout73.49%
  Majority party Minority party
 
Party Republican Democratic
Last election 2 seats, 43.38% 5 seats, 55.16%
Seats before 2 5
Seats won 4 3
Seat change Increase 2 Decrease 2
Popular vote 884,032 800,900
Percentage 50.14% 45.42%
Swing Increase 6.75% Decrease 9.73%

The 2010 congressional elections in Colorado were held on November 2, 2010, to determine who will represent the state of Colorado in the United States House of Representatives. Representatives are elected for two-year terms; those elected will serve in the 112th Congress.

Colorado has seven seats in the House, apportioned according to the 2000 United States census. Its 2008-2009 congressional delegation consisted of five Democrats and two Republicans.

Overview

[edit]

Statewide

[edit]
Party Candidates Votes[2] Seats
No. % No. +/– %
Republican 7 884,032 50.14 4 Increase 2 57.14
Democratic 7 800,900 45.42 3 Decrease 2 42.86
Libertarian 6 38,864 2.20 0 Steady 0.0
Constitution 4 27,419 1.56 0 Steady 0.0
Others 2 8,968 0.51 0 Steady 0.0
Green 1 2,923 0.17 0 Steady 0.0
Write-in 3 46 0.00 0 Steady 0.0
Total 30 1,763,152 100.0 7 Steady 100.0
Popular vote
Republican
 
 50.14%
Democratic
 
 45.42%
Libertarian
 
 2.20%
Other
 
 2.24%
House seats
Republican
 
 57.14%
Democratic
 
 42.86%

By district

[edit]

Results of the 2010 United States House of Representatives elections in Colorado by district:[3]

District Republican Democratic Others Total Result
Votes%Votes%Votes%Votes%
District 159,74728.97%140,07365.81%7,9315.22%207,751100.0%Democratic hold
District 298,17137.90%148,72057.41%12,1434.69%259,034100.0%Democratic hold
District 3129,25750.10%118,04845.76%10,6944.14%257,999100.0%Republican gain
District 4138,63452.48%109,24941.35%16,2986.17%264,181100.0%Republican gain
District 5152,82965.75%68,03929.27%11,5664.98%232,434100.0%Republican hold
District 6217,36865.68%104,10431.46%9,4712.86%330,943100.0%Republican hold
District 788,02641.76%112,66753.44%10,1174.80%210,810100.0%Democratic hold
Total884,03250.14%800,90045.42%78,2204.44%1,763,152100.0%

District 1

[edit]
2010 Colorado's 1st congressional district election
← 2008
2012 →
 
Nominee Diana DeGette Mike Fallon
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote 140,073 59,747
Percentage 67.4% 28.8%
County results
DeGette:      50–60%      60–70%
Fallon:      60–70%
U.S. Representative before election

Diana DeGette
Democratic

 Elected U.S. Representative

Diana DeGette
Democratic

Incumbent Democrat Diana DeGette, who had represented this liberal Denver based district since 1997, ran for re-election. She was re-elected with 71.9% of the vote in 2008 and the district had a PVI of D+21.[4]

Democratic primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]

Results

[edit]
Democratic primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Diana DeGette (incumbent) 57,527 100.0
Total votes 57,527 100.0

Republican primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]
Withdrawn
[edit]
  • Steven Barton

Results

[edit]
Republican primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Mike Fallon 13,970 100.0
Total votes 13,970 100.0

Libertarian primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]
  • Clint Jones, human resources manager[5]
Eliminated in primary
[edit]
  • Jeffrey Schitter, business owner

Results

[edit]
Libertarian primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Libertarian Clint Jones 216 59.5
Libertarian Jeffrey Schitter 147 40.5
Total votes 363 100.0

Green primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]

Constitution primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]
  • Chris Styskal, former corporate manager

General election

[edit]

Campaign

[edit]

Fallon's campaign was characterized by informal "town hall meetings," often held at local pubs, and by "door-to-door" interaction with voters.[6] On September 20,, Fallon made national news when the NRCC upgraded him to "On the Radar" status - the first of three levels in their Young Guns Program.[7] This prompted DeGette to sent an email to supporters, informing them of Fallon's "On the Radar" status, and requesting donations, stating that, "We can't take anything for granted this year." The fundraising request received significant local media attention.[8]

The Denver Post strongly endorsed DeGette for re-election, praising her for having "served [her] district well" and for being "a steady voice who has served the interests of her district and the nation."

Endorsements

[edit]
Diana DeGette (D)

Newspapers

Polling

[edit]
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[a]		 Margin of
error		 Diana
DeGette (D)		 Mike
Fallon (R)		 Undecided
ccAdvertising (R)[13] October 17–19, 2010 698 (LV) ±?% 44% 36% 20%

Predictions

[edit]
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[14] Safe D November 1, 2010
Rothenberg[15] Safe D November 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball[16] Safe D November 1, 2010
RCP[17] Safe D November 1, 2010
CQ Politics[18] Safe D October 28, 2010
New York Times[19] Safe D November 1, 2010
FiveThirtyEight[19] Safe D November 1, 2010

Results

[edit]

Congresswoman DeGette was heavily favored to win re-election, and on election day, she overwhelmingly won an eighth term in Congress.

Colorado's 1st congressional district election, 2010[2]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Diana DeGette (incumbent) 140,073 67.4
Republican Mike Fallon 59,747 28.8
Green Gary Swing 2,923 1.4
Libertarian Clint Jones 2,867 1.4
American Constitution Chris Styskal 2,141 1.0
Majority 80,326 38.7
Turnout 214,472 71.1
Registered electors 301,491
Democratic hold

Finances

[edit]
Campaigns
[edit]
Candidate (party) Raised Spent Cash on hand
Diana DeGette (D) $825,016 $822,289 $108,829
Mike Fallon (R) $196,993 $196,993 $0
Clint Jones (L) Unreported
Gary Swing (G) Unreported
Chris Styskal (C) Unreported
Outside Spending
[edit]
Candidate (party) Supported Opposed
Diana DeGette (D) $20,509 $0
Mike Fallon (R) $0 $0
Clint Jones (L) $0 $0
Gary Swing (G) $0 $0
Chris Styskal (C) $0 $0

District 2

[edit]
2010 Colorado's 2nd congressional district election
← 2008
2012 →
 
Nominee Jared Polis Stephen Bailey
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote 148,720 116,619
Percentage 57.4% 37.9%
County results
Polis:      50–60%      70–80%
Bailey:      40–50%      50–60%
U.S. Representative before election

Jared Polis
Democratic

 Elected U.S. Representative

Jared Polis
Democratic

Incumbent Democrat Jared Polis, who had represented the district, centred around heavily Democratic Boulder and the northwestern suburbs of Denver, since 2009, ran for re-election. He was elected with 62.6% of the vote in 2008 and the district had a PVI of D+11.[4]

Democratic primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]

Results

[edit]
Democratic primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Jared Polis (incumbent) 47,347 100.0
Total votes 47,347 100.0

Republican primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]
  • Stephen Bailey, software marketing director
Eliminated in primary
[edit]
  • Bob Brancato, private investigator

Campaign

[edit]

Brancato briefly suspended his campaign in July following a local newspaper reporting on 2009 domestic incident that the police attended. Brancato's wife vehemently denied there had been domestic abuse and stated that she called police because her husband was suffering from an episode of post-traumatic stress disorder.[20]

Results

[edit]
Republican primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Stephen Bailey 23,439 69.4
Republican Bob Brancato 10,353 30.6
Total votes 33,792 100.0

Libertarian primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]
  • Curtis Harris, retired businessman and investor

Constitution primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]
  • Jenna Goss, event promotions contractor

Unity primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Withdrawn
[edit]

General election

[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]
Jared Polis (D)

Newspapers

Stephen Bailey (R)

Organizations

Polling

[edit]
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[a]		 Margin of
error		 Jared
Polis (D)		 Stephen
Bailey (R)		 Other Undecided
Magellan Data and Mapping Strategies (R)[22] September 20, 2010 688 (LV) ±3.7% 48% 36% 8% 8%

Predictions

[edit]
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[14] Safe D November 1, 2010
Rothenberg[15] Safe D November 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball[16] Safe D November 1, 2010
RCP[17] Safe D November 1, 2010
CQ Politics[18] Safe D October 28, 2010
New York Times[19] Safe D November 1, 2010
FiveThirtyEight[19] Safe D November 1, 2010

Results

[edit]

As expected, Polis won by a wide margin, albeit a smaller one than this district is used to giving its Democratic representatives.

Colorado's 2nd congressional district election, 2010[2]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Jared Polis (incumbent) 148,720 57.4
Republican Stephen Bailey 98,171 37.9
American Constitution Jenna Goss 7,080 2.7
Libertarian Curtis Harris 5,056 2.0
Write-in 7 0.0
Majority 50,549 19.5
Turnout 267,021 72.5
Registered electors 368,143
Democratic hold

Finances

[edit]
Campaigns
[edit]
Candidate (party) Raised Spent Cash on hand
Jared Polis (D) $1,248,539 $895,953 $382,126
Stephen Bailey (R) $130,886 $130,747 $139
Curtis Harris (L) $8,474 $8,476 $0
Jenna Goss (C) Unreported
Outside Spending
[edit]
Candidate (party) Supported Opposed
Jared Polis (D) $96,882 $0
Stephen Bailey (R) $0 $0
Curtis Harris (L) $0 $0
Jenna Goss (C) $0 $0

District 3

[edit]
2010 Colorado's 3rd congressional district election
← 2008
2012 →
 
Nominee Scott Tipton John Salazar
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 129,257 118,048
Percentage 50.1% 45.8%
County results
Tipton:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%
Salazar:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%
U.S. Representative before election

John Salazar
Democratic

 Elected U.S. Representative

Scott Tipton
Republican

Incumbent Democrat John Salazar, who had represented the conservative, west Colorado district since 2005, ran for re-election. He was re–elected with % of the vote in 2008 and the district had a PVI of R+5.[4]

Democratic primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]

Results

[edit]
Democratic primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic John Salazar (incumbent) 46,148 100.0
Total votes 46,148 100.0

Republican primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]
Eliminated in primary
[edit]
  • Bob McConnell, retired lawyer and Army officer[24]
Withdrawn
[edit]
  • Martin Beeson, district attorney for the 9th Judicial District (endorsed Tipton)[25][26]

Endorsements

[edit]
Bob McConnell

Statewide officials

Results

[edit]
Republican primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Scott Tipton 39,346 55.8
Republican Bob McConnell 31,214 44.2
Total votes 70,560 100.0

Libertarian primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]
  • Gregory Gilman, electrical engineer

Other Candidates

[edit]
  • Jake Segrest, small business owner (Independent)

General election

[edit]

Campaign

[edit]

A contentious race ensued. Tipton attacked Salazar for voting for the 2009 Stimulus while Salazar retaliated that Tipton wanted to "[cut] Social Security and Medicare spending in half."[28][29]

While the Denver Post praised Scott Tipton as a state lawmaker who "is knowledgeable about the issues, and touts his private sector experience," the Post endorsed Salazar for re-election, citing his "ability to work with people from differing political views to seek solutions that work for the district."[30]

Endorsements

[edit]
John Salazar (D)

Organizations

Newspapers

Polling

[edit]
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[a]		 Margin of
error		 John
Salazar (D)		 Scott
Tipton (R)		 Other Undecided
Penn Schoen Berland (The Hill/ANGA)[32] October 19–21, 2010 400 (LV) ±4.9 43% 47% 2% 8%
Ayres, McHenry & Associates (R–American Action Forum)[33] August 23–28, 2010 400 (LV) ±4.9 43% 51% – 7%
Magellan Data and Mapping Strategies (R)[34] August 17–19, 2010 ? ±3.1 43% 49% – 8%
Tarrance Group (R)[35] December 8–9, 2009 ? ±5.7 46% 44% – 10%

Predictions

[edit]
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[14] Tossup November 1, 2010
Rothenberg[15] Tilt R (flip) November 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball[16] Lean R (flip) November 1, 2010
RCP[17] Lean R (flip) November 1, 2010
CQ Politics[18] Tossup October 28, 2010
New York Times[19] Tossup November 1, 2010
FiveThirtyEight[19] Lean R (flip) November 1, 2010

Results

[edit]
Colorado's 3rd congressional district election, 2010[2]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Scott Tipton 129,257 50.1
Democratic John Salazar (incumbent) 118,048 45.8
Libertarian Gregory Gilman 5,678 2.2
Independent Jake Segrest 4,982 1.9
Write-in 34 0.0
Majority 11,209 4.3
Turnout 267,822 72.5
Registered electors 355,428
Republican gain from Democratic

Finances

[edit]
Campaigns
[edit]
Candidate (party) Raised Spent Cash on hand
John Salazar (D) $2,067,198 $2,474,562 $57,389
Scott Tipton (R) $1,232,113 $1,207,832 $24,117
Gregory Gilman (L) Unreported
Jake Segrest (I) $18,767 $18,465 $300
Outside Spending
[edit]
Candidate (party) Supported Opposed
John Salazar (D) $213,381 $1,452,647
Scott Tipton (R) $106,637 $2,067,485
Gregory Gilman (L) $0 $0
Jake Segrest (I) $0 $0

District 4

[edit]
2010 Colorado's 4th congressional district election
← 2008
2012 →
 
Nominee Cory Gardner Betsy Markey
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 138,634 109,249
Percentage 52.5% 41.4%
County results
Gardner:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%
Markey:      40–50%      50–60%
U.S. Representative before election

Betsy Markey
Democratic

 Elected U.S. Representative

Cory Gardner
Republican

Incumbent Democrat Betsy Markey, who had represented this conservative east Colorado-based district since 2009, ran for re-election. She was elected with % of the vote in 2008 and the district had a PVI of R+6.[4]

Democratic primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]

Results

[edit]
Democratic primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Betsy Markey (incumbent) 33,982 100.0
Total votes 33,982 100.0

Republican primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]
Withdrawn
[edit]
Declined
[edit]

Results

[edit]
Republican primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Cory Gardner 57,358 100.0
Total votes 57,358 100.0

Libertarian primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Withdrawn
[edit]
  • Jassen Bowman

Constitution primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]
  • Doug Aden, small business owner

Unity primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Withdrawn
[edit]
  • Mike Nelson, oilfield worker

General election

[edit]

Campaign

[edit]

Markey, seen as a vulnerable member of Congress[41] faced a tough challenge from Gardner. Challenger Gardner attacked Markey for supporting the 2009 Stimulus, asking rhetorically, "You want a shovel ready project we don't need? It's digging more debt," to which Markey responded, "I don't need to be lectured by someone who actually wants to tax the wind," a reference to a bill supported by Gardner in the state legislature that some claimed would allow for taxation of wind energy.[42] Gardner further attacked Markey for a variety of votes that she supposedly cast in a television advertisement, but controversy ensued and a local Fox News affiliate yanked the ad off the air when it came to surface that the votes that Congresswoman Markey "cast" were actually cast by Massachusetts Congressman Ed Markey.[43]

The Denver Post, citing Gardner's reputation as a "go-to guy in the legislature" and praising his motivation to bring "fiscal discipline to government," endorsed the Republican, expressing their discontent with Markey for "[straying] to the left" during her time in Congress.[44]

Endorsements

[edit]
Betsy Markey (D)

Organizations

Newspapers

Cory Gardner (R)

Organizations

Newspapers

Polling

[edit]
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[a]		 Margin of
error		 Betsy
Markey (D)		 Cory
Gardner (R)		 Undecided
ccAdvertising (R) October 1, 2010 2,743 (LV) ±?% 35% 47% 18%
Penn Schoen Berland (The Hill/ANGA)[45] September 25–27, 2010 391 (LV) ±5.0 41% 44% 14%
Bennett, Petts & Normington[46] September 6–7, 2010 400 (LV) ±? 38% 38% 24%
Ayres, McHenry & Associates (R–American Action Forum)[47] August 23–28, 2010 400 (LV) ±4.9 39% 50% 11%

Predictions

[edit]
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[14] Lean R (flip) November 1, 2010
Rothenberg[15] Likely R (flip) November 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball[16] Lean R (flip) November 1, 2010
RCP[17] Lean R (flip) November 1, 2010
CQ Politics[18] Likely R (flip) October 28, 2010
New York Times[19] Lean R (flip) November 1, 2010
FiveThirtyEight[19] Likely R (flip) November 1, 2010

Results

[edit]

Though polls indicated that Gardner held a narrow lead at best, Markey ultimately was defeated in her bid for a second term by a fairly comfortable eleven point margin of victory.

Colorado's 4th congressional district election, 2010[2]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Cory Gardner 138,634 52.5
Democratic Betsy Markey (incumbent) 109,249 41.4
American Constitution Doug Aden 12,312 4.7
Independent Ken Waskiewicz 3,986 1.5
Majority 29,385 11.1
Turnout 271,316 75.5
Registered electors 359,391
Republican gain from Democratic

Finances

[edit]
Campaigns
[edit]
Candidate (party) Raised Spent Cash on hand
Betsy Markey (D) $3,505,293 $3,516,268 $10,617
Cory Gardner (R) $2,426,591 $2,407,602 $18,989
Doug Aden (C) Unreported
Ken Waskiewicz (I) Unreported
Outside Spending
[edit]
Candidate (party) Supported Opposed
Betsy Markey (D) $297,186 $876,129
Cory Gardner (R) $251,250 $742,904
Doug Aden (C) $0 $341,842
Ken Waskiewicz (I) $0 $0

District 5

[edit]
2010 Colorado's 5th congressional district election
← 2008
2012 →
 
Nominee Doug Lamborn Kevin Bradley
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 152,829 113,027
Percentage 65.8% 29.3%
County results
Lamborn:      50–60%      60–70%
Bradley:      50–60%
U.S. Representative before election

Doug Lamborn
Republican

 Elected U.S. Representative

Doug Lamborn
Republican

Incumbent Republican Doug Lamborn, who had represented this conservative district based in Colorado Springs and its suburbs district since 2005, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 60.0% of the vote in 2006 and the district had a PVI of R+14.[4]

Republican primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]
Declined
[edit]

Results

[edit]
Republican primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Doug Lamborn (incumbent) 60,906 100.0
Total votes 60,906 100.0

Democratic primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]
  • Kevin Bradley, businessman[48]

Results

[edit]
Democratic primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Kevin Bradley 20,814 100.0
Total votes 20,814 100.0

Libertarian primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]
  • Jerell Klaver, businessman

General election

[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]
Doug Lamborn (R)

Organizations

Newspapers

Predictions

[edit]
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[14] Safe R November 1, 2010
Rothenberg[15] Safe R November 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball[16] Safe R November 1, 2010
RCP[17] Safe R November 1, 2010
CQ Politics[18] Safe R October 28, 2010
New York Times[19] Safe R November 1, 2010
FiveThirtyEight[19] Safe R November 1, 2010

Results

[edit]
Colorado's 5th congressional district election, 2010[2]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Doug Lamborn (incumbent) 152,829 65.8
Democratic Kevin Bradley 68,039 29.3
American Constitution Brian Scott 5,886 2.5
Libertarian Jerell Klaver 5,680 2.4
Majority 84,790 36.5
Turnout 238,902 69.6
Registered electors 343,288
Republican hold

Finances

[edit]
Campaigns
[edit]
Candidate (party) Raised Spent Cash on hand
Doug Lamborn (R) $338,476 $182,883 $154,563
Kevin Bradley (D) Unreported
Jerell Klaver (L) Unreported
Brian Scott (C) Unreported
Outside Spending
[edit]
Candidate (party) Supported Opposed
Doug Lamborn (R) $0 $0
Kevin Bradley (D) $5,068 $0
Jerell Klaver (L) $0 $0
Brian Scott (C) $0 $0

District 6

[edit]
2010 Colorado's 6th congressional district election
← 2008
2012 →
 
Nominee Mike Coffman John Flerlage
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 217,368 104,104
Percentage 65.7% 31.5%
County results
Coffman:      60–70%      70–80%
U.S. Representative before election

Mike Coffman
Republican

 Elected U.S. Representative

Mike Coffman
Republican

Incumbent Republican Mike Coffman, who had represented this solidly conservative district based in the southern Denver suburbs and some parts of Aurora, since 2009, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 60.7% of the vote in 2008 and the district had a PVI of R+8.[4]

Republican primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]

Results

[edit]
Republican primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Mike Coffman (incumbent) 81,067 100.0
Total votes 81,067 100.0

Democratic primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]

Results

[edit]
Democratic primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic John Flerlage 37,950 100.0
Total votes 37,950 100.0

Libertarian primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]
  • Rob McNealy, small business owner and community activist

General election

[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]
Mike Coffman (R)

Organizations

Newspapers

Predictions

[edit]
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[14] Safe R November 1, 2010
Rothenberg[15] Safe R November 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball[16] Safe R November 1, 2010
RCP[17] Safe R November 1, 2010
CQ Politics[18] Safe R October 28, 2010
New York Times[19] Safe R November 1, 2010
FiveThirtyEight[19] Safe R November 1, 2010

Results

[edit]
Colorado's 6th congressional district election, 2010[2]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Mike Coffman (incumbent) 217,368 65.7
Democratic John Flerlage 104,104 31.5
Libertarian Rob McNealy 9,466 2.9
Write-in 5 0.0
Majority 113,264 34.2
Turnout 345,534 75.8
Registered electors 455,805
Republican hold

Finances

[edit]
Campaigns
[edit]
Candidate (party) Raised Spent Cash on hand
Mike Coffman (R) $904,466 $576,556 $411,537
John Flerlage (D) $152,157 $151,280 $876
Rob McNealy (L) $24,052 $24,138 $0
Outside Spending
[edit]
Candidate (party) Supported Opposed
Mike Coffman (R) $0 $0
John Flerlage (D) $6,952 $0
Rob McNealy (L) $0 $0

District 7

[edit]
2010 Colorado's 7th congressional district election
← 2008
2012 →
 
Nominee Ed Perlmutter Ryan Frazier
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote 112,667 88,026
Percentage 53.4% 41.8%
County results
Perlmutter:      50–60%
U.S. Representative before election

Ed Perlmutter
Democratic

 Elected U.S. Representative

Ed Perlmutter
Democratic

Incumbent Democratic Ed Perlmutter, who had represented this suburban Denver district since 2007, ran for re-election. He was elected with % of the vote in 2008 and the district had a PVI of D+4.[4]

Democratic primary

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Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]

Results

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Democratic primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Ed Perlmutter (incumbent) 40,534 100.0
Total votes 40,534 100.0

Republican primary

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Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]
Eliminated in primary
[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]
Lang Sias

U.S. Senators

Organizations

Results

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Republican primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Ryan Frazier 26,765 64.3
Republican Lang Sias 14,835 35.7
Total votes 41,600 100.0

Libertarian primary

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Candidates

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Nominee
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  • Buck Bailey, small business owner

General election

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Campaign

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Both candidates levied heavy attacks against each other as election day drew nearer. Frazier attacked Perlmutter for supporting the 2009 Stimulus, decrying it as a waste of taxpayer money; Perlmutter provided evidence that a charter school that Frazier represented, as well as the city of Aurora, received stimulus money.[53] In a bizarre moment during the campaign, the two candidates were discussing health care reform at a debate when Frazier pointed his hand at Perlmutter, who slapped it away, apologizing immediately thereafter.[54]

The Denver Post, calling for "new blood in Congress," endorsed Frazier over Perlmutter, declaring that despite Frazier's young age of 33, "his grasp on the key issues facing the country has grown considerably since he first surfaced on the political scene." The Post, meanwhile, criticized Congressman Perlmutter for being "a solid vote for the Democratic majority" and for supporting "the Obama Administration’s over-reaching agenda."[55]

Endorsements

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Ryan Frazier (R)

Organizations

Newspapers

Polling

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Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[a]		 Margin of
error		 Ed
Perlmutter (D)		 Ryan
Frazier (R)		 Other Undecided
Magellan Data and Mapping Strategies (R)[56] August 8, 2010 830 (LV) ±3.4% 39% 40% 10% 11%

Predictions

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Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[14] Lean D November 1, 2010
Rothenberg[15] Likely D November 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball[16] Likely D November 1, 2010
RCP[17] Safe D November 1, 2010
CQ Politics[18] Likely D October 28, 2010
New York Times[19] Lean D November 1, 2010
FiveThirtyEight[19] Likely D November 1, 2010

Results

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Despite the nationwide swing against the Democrats, Perlmutter comfortably won re election to a third term by 11 points, with Frazier only improving 2.3% on John McCain vote share from 2008.

Colorado's 7th congressional district election, 2010[2]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Ed Perlmutter (incumbent) 112,667 53.4
Republican Ryan Frazier 88,026 41.8
Libertarian Buck Bailey 10,117 4.8
Majority 24,641 11.7
Turnout 215,961 73.4
Registered electors 294,412
Democratic hold

Finances

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Campaigns
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Candidate (party) Raised Spent Cash on hand
Ed Perlmutter (D) $2,443,962 $2,943,593 $45,222
Ryan Frazier (R) $1,775,458 $1,771,943 $3,515
Buck Bailey (L) Unreported
Outside Spending
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Candidate (party) Supported Opposed
Ed Perlmutter (D) $952,596 $638,278
Ryan Frazier (R) $129,821 $560,941
Buck Bailey (L) $0 $0

Aftermath

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In their post election round up, the website Colorado Pols described the Frazier campaign as "amateurish at best" and that he had proved to be "immature, vacuous and just plain silly in unscripted moments".[57]

Notes

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  1. 1 2 3 4 5 Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear

References

[edit]
  1. ↑ "2010 State of Colorado Abstract of Votes Cast". historicalelectiondata.coloradosos.gov. Office of Secretary of State State of Colorado. Retrieved December 23, 2025.
  2. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 "Statistics of the Congressional Election" (PDF). Clerk.house.gov. November 2, 2010. Retrieved August 3, 2016.
  3. ↑ Haas, Karen L. (June 3, 2011). "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 2, 2010". Clerk of the U.S. House of Representatives. Retrieved November 12, 2019.
  4. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 "Archived copy" (PDF). www.cookpolitical.com. Archived from the original (PDF) on July 15, 2011. Retrieved January 15, 2022.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: archived copy as title (link)
  5. ↑ Tim Hoover (August 10, 2010). "Libertarian Clint Jones wins 1st Congressional District primary". The Denver Post. Retrieved December 23, 2025.
  6. ↑ Easley, Jonathan (September 22, 2010). "Mike Fallon, Republican candidate in District 1, takes on Diana DeGette, seeks cure for Congress". Westword. Retrieved October 4, 2010.
  7. ↑ Pols, Colorado (September 21, 2010). "CD-1 in play? - Fallon named "Young Gun" candidate". The Washington Post. Retrieved October 4, 2010.{{cite news}}: CS1 maint: deprecated archival service (link)
  8. ↑ Plunkett, Chuck (September 23, 2010). "Spotted This Morning: DeGette stokes fear of Fallon in fundraising appeal". Denver Post. Retrieved October 4, 2010.
  9. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 "Endorsements". The Denver Post. October 21, 2010. Archived from the original on November 15, 2010. Retrieved December 23, 2025.
  10. 1 2 3 "2010 Candidates Endorsed By Eagle Forum PAC". eagleforum.org. Eagle Forum. October 25, 2010. Archived from the original on October 28, 2010. Retrieved December 23, 2025.
  11. ↑ Axelrod, Ethan (September 21, 2010). "Mike Fallon, GOP Candidate In Colorado CD-1, Granted 'On The Radar' Status By NRCC". Huffington Post. Retrieved October 4, 2010.
  12. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 "Endorsed Candidates". teapartyexpress.org. Tea Party Express. Archived from the original on October 31, 2010. Retrieved December 23, 2025.
  13. ↑ "FiveThirtyEight House Elections Forecast and Polls - Election 2010 - The New York Times". The New York Times. Retrieved October 27, 2010.
  14. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 "The Cook Political Report – Charts – 2010 House Competitive Races". The Cook Political Report. November 1, 2010. Archived from the original on November 4, 2010. Retrieved November 1, 2010.
  15. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 Rothenberg Political Report (November 1, 2010). "House Ratings". Rothenbergpoliticalreport.com. Archived from the original on November 1, 2010. Retrieved November 1, 2010.
  16. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 Crystal Ball, as of November 1, 2010
  17. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 RealClearPolitics, as of November 1, 2010
  18. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 "2010 House Ratings Chart". CQ Politics. Archived from the original on October 28, 2010. Retrieved November 1, 2010.
  19. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 "House Race Ratings". nytimes.com. The New York Times. Archived from the original on November 7, 2010. Retrieved October 9, 2023.
  20. ↑ Lynn Bartels (August 6, 2010). "Bailey's out-of-state assistance opens wedge with GOP primary rival Brancato". The Denver Post. Retrieved December 23, 2025.
  21. 1 2 "Vote 2010". boulderweekly.com. Boulder Weekly. October 21, 2010. Archived from the original on October 29, 2010. Retrieved December 23, 2025.
  22. ↑ David Flaherty (September 29, 2010). "Colorado 2nd Congressional District Survey Release" (PDF). magellanstrategies.com/. Louisville, CO: Magellan Data and Mapping Strategies. Archived from the original (PDF) on January 2, 2011. Retrieved December 23, 2025.
  23. ↑ Greg Giroux (November 9, 2009). "Tipton Joins Race Against Salazar". rollcall.com. Roll Call. Retrieved December 23, 2025.
  24. ↑ Greg Giroux (October 9, 2009). "Colorado: Second Republican Seeks Salazar's Seat". rollcall.com. Roll Call. Retrieved December 23, 2025.
  25. ↑ John Gardner (May 19, 2009). "DA Martin Beeson to run for Congress". The Aspen Times. Rifle, CO. Retrieved December 23, 2025.
  26. ↑ "District attorney drops out of the race for Congress". The Aspen Times. Glenwood Springs, CO. January 1, 2010. Retrieved December 23, 2025.
  27. ↑ Lynn Bartels (July 19, 2010). "Palin picks McConnell in Colorado's District 3". The Denver Post. Retrieved December 23, 2025.
  28. ↑ "Fact Check: Scott Tipton vs. John Salazar". www.kktv.com. Archived from the original on September 27, 2011. Retrieved January 15, 2022.
  29. ↑ Nancy Lofholm (September 27, 2010). "Second fight over 3rd Congressional District a big one". The Denver Post. Retrieved December 23, 2025.
  30. ↑ "Retain Salazar in 3rd District - The Denver Post". Archived from the original on October 11, 2010. Retrieved October 11, 2010.
  31. ↑ Alex Isenstadt (September 16, 2010). "NRCC inducts 18 new Young Guns". politico.com/. Politico. Retrieved December 23, 2025.
  32. ↑ The Hill/ANGA
  33. ↑ American Action Forum
  34. ↑ Magellan Strategies
  35. ↑ Tarrance Group
  36. ↑ Kosena, Jason (May 15, 2009). "Cory Gardner joins Tom Lucero in GOP bid against Betsy Markey". Colorado Statesman. Archived from the original on September 5, 2014. Retrieved September 4, 2014.
  37. ↑ Alex Isenstadt (May 21, 2010). "Gardner wins nomination". politico.com. Politico. Retrieved December 23, 2025.
  38. 1 2 3 4 5 6 John McArdle (March 23, 2009). "GOP Marks Markey Near Top of Territory to Regain". rollcall.com. Roll Call. Retrieved December 23, 2025.
  39. ↑ "Field Against Colorado's Markey Continues To Grow". rollcall.com. Roll Call. November 19, 2009. Retrieved December 23, 2025.
  40. ↑ David Drucker (February 25, 2008). "Colorado Has Seen Heavy Turnover in House Districts". rollcall.com. Roll Call. Retrieved December 18, 2025.
  41. ↑ "Democrats See Hopes for West Dim in Colorado". The New York Times. May 9, 2010. Archived from the original on May 12, 2010. Retrieved August 3, 2016.(subscription required)
  42. ↑ "Betsy Markey Comes Out Swinging Against Cory Gardner At CD-4 Debate". HuffPost. Archived from the original on October 24, 2010. Retrieved October 24, 2010.
  43. ↑ Roberts, Michael (October 20, 2010). "Cory Gardner: See attack ad on Betsy Markey (or was that Ed Markey?) Fox 31 decided to yank". westword.com. Archived from the original on October 21, 2014. Retrieved August 3, 2016.
  44. ↑ "Gardner right for the 4th CD - The Denver Post". Archived from the original on October 9, 2010. Retrieved October 9, 2010.
  45. ↑ Shane D’Aprile (October 6, 2010). "District by district - Colorado (Colorado-4)". thehill.com. The Hill. Archived from the original on December 10, 2010. Retrieved December 23, 2025.
  46. ↑ Bennett, Petts & Normington (D)
  47. ↑ American Action Forum
  48. ↑ Tom Roeder (June 10, 2010). "Democrat hopes to loosen Lamborn's hold on House seat". The Denver Gazette. Retrieved December 23, 2025.
  49. ↑ "Democrat seeks to unseat Coffman". coloradocommunitymedia.com. Colorado Community Media. February 9, 2010. Retrieved December 23, 2025.
  50. ↑ Drehle, David Von (September 21, 2010). "2010: Races to Watch". Archived from the original on September 25, 2010. Retrieved August 3, 2016 – via www.time.com.
  51. ↑ "McCain Backs Ex-Aide's Bid For Colorado Rep. Perlmutter's Seat". Roll Call. December 9, 2009. Retrieved December 23, 2025.
  52. ↑ "John McCain Endorses Lang Sias In CD-7". coloradopols.com. Colorado Pols. December 9, 2009. Retrieved December 23, 2025.
  53. ↑ Independent, Scot Kersgaard The Colorado (December 28, 2010). "Ryan Frazier's Charter School Actively Sought Stimulus Funds". huffingtonpost.com. Retrieved August 3, 2016.
  54. ↑ "WATCH: Ed Perlmutter Slaps Ryan Frazier's Hand During Debate, Apologizes". huffingtonpost.com. October 18, 2010. Retrieved August 3, 2016.
  55. ↑ "A fresh voice in the 7th District - The Denver Post". Archived from the original on October 11, 2010. Retrieved October 11, 2010.
  56. ↑ David Flaherty (August 27, 2010). "Ryan Frazier and Ed Perlmutter Race A Statistical Dead Heat" (PDF). magellanstrategies.com/. Louisville, CO: Magellan Data and Mapping Strategies. Archived from the original (PDF) on September 19, 2010. Retrieved December 23, 2025.
  57. ↑ "Winners and Losers, Part Two (Or, Just the Losers)". coloradopols.com. Colorado Pols. November 8, 2010. Archived from the original on November 12, 2010. Retrieved December 23, 2025.
[edit]
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