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2026 United States Senate election in Iowa

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2026 United States Senate election in Iowa
← 2020
November 3, 2026
2032 →
 
Nominee Ashley Hinson Josh Turek
Party Republican Democratic
Incumbent U.S. senator

Joni Ernst
Republican


The 2026 United States Senate election in Iowa will be held on November 3, 2026, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of Iowa. Republican congresswoman Ashley Hinson and Democratic state representative Josh Turek are the nominees for their respective parties. Republican incumbent Joni Ernst is not seeking a third term.[1]

Primary elections were held on June 2, 2026. Endorsed by President Donald Trump, Hinson won the Republican nomination with 73.9% of the vote over former state senator Jim Carlin. Turek won the Democratic nomination with 62.6% of the vote over state senator Zach Wahls.

Democrats have not won a Senate election in Iowa since 2008. This is Iowa's first open Senate election to be held concurrently with an open gubernatorial election since 1968.[2]

Background

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Since voting for President Barack Obama in both 2008 and 2012, Iowa has trended increasingly Republican and is now considered a moderately to strongly red state at the federal and state level. Republican nominee Donald Trump won Iowa in 2020 by 8 percentage points, and in 2024 grew his margin to 13 percentage points. Republicans control every statewide executive office (except the state auditor's office), majorities in both chambers of the state legislature, and the entire congressional delegation.[3]

Senator Joni Ernst was first elected in the red wave of 2014, defeating U.S. Representative Bruce Braley by about 8 percentage points. She was re-elected in 2020 defeating Theresa Greenfield by 6.5 percentage points in what was expected to be a dead heat.[4][5]

In May 2025, Ernst sparked controversy after replying to a constituent upset by thousands of preventable deaths resulting from Medicaid cuts in the One Big Beautiful Bill Act by responding, "Well, we all are going to die" during a town hall in north-central Iowa.[6] She later doubled down on her controversial comment, which many observers criticized as dismissive, in a sarcastic social media apology video filmed in a cemetery.[7] Ernst announced in September 2025 that she would not seek reelection.[1]

Republican primary

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Candidates

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Nominee

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Eliminated in primary

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Withdrawn

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Declined

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Endorsements

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Jim Carlin
Executive branch officials
State legislators
Ashley Hinson
Executive branch officials
U.S. senators
U.S. representatives
Statewide officials
State legislators
Organizations
Joni Ernst (declined)
Organizations

Fundraising

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Italics indicate a declined candidate.

Campaign finance reports as of April 18, 2026
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Jim Carlin (R) $293,966 $279,387 $14,578
Ashley Hinson (R) $7,267,266 $2,679,198 $6,516,143
Joni Ernst (R) $6,954,692 $5,485,942 $1,997,164
Source: Federal Election Commission[32]

Polling

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Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[a]		 Margin
of error		 Ashley
Hinson		 Jim
Carlin		 Undecided
JMC Analytics (R)[33] May 27–28, 2026 550 (A) ± 4.2% 58% 19% 23%
Hypothetical polling

Joni Ernst vs. "Someone Else"

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[a]		 Margin
of error		 Joni
Ernst		 Someone
Else		 Undecided
Victory Insights (R)[34] December 6–7, 2024 600 (LV) – 48% 27% 26%

Results

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Primary results by county:
  Hinson
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  •   70–80%
  •   80–90%
Republican primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Ashley Hinson 153,059 74.2
Republican Jim Carlin 53,196 25.8
Total votes 206,255 100.0

Democratic primary

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Candidates

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Nominee

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Eliminated in primary

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Did not file

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Withdrawn

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Declined

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Endorsements

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Josh Turek
Executive branch officials
U.S. senators
U.S. representatives
Statewide officials
State legislators
Party officials
Individuals
  • Nathan Sage, market director for KNIA and former candidate for this seat[41]
Organizations
Labor unions
Zach Wahls
U.S. senators
U.S. representatives
Statewide officials
State legislators
  • 3 current state senators[e]
  • 4 former state senators[f]
  • 3 current state representatives[g]
  • 3 former state representatives[h]
Individuals
Labor unions
Organizations
Jackie Norris (withdrawn)
Statewide officials
State legislators
Local officials

Fundraising

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Italics indicate withdrawn candidate

Campaign finance reports as of April 18, 2026
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Nathan Sage (D) $1,432,562 $1,432,459 $102
Josh Turek (D) $2,808,701 $2,051,221 $757,480
Zach Wahls (D) $3,167,670 $2,112,265 $1,055,405
Jackie Norris (D) $363,563 $363,563 $0
J. D. Scholten (D) $213,415 $205,271 $8,144
Source: Federal Election Commission[32]

Polling

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Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[a]		 Margin
of error		 Josh
Turek		 Zach
Wahls		 Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D)[69][A] May 20–21, 2026 672 (LV) ± 3.8% 52% 31% – 17%
Public Policy Polling (D)[70][B] May 5–6, 2026 764 (LV) ± 3.6% 53% 27% – 20%
Public Policy Polling (D)[70][B] April 23, 2026 – (LV) – 41% 23% – 36%
FM3 Research (D)[71][A] April 21–23, 2026 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 48% 28% – 24%
Bedrock Polling[72][C] March 26, 2026 1,022 (LV) ± 3.2% 38% 56% – 6%
FM3 Research (D)[71][A] March 11–14, 2026 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 25% 34% – 41%
GQR (D)[73][D] February 18–22, 2026 605 (LV) – 24% 42% – 34%
NRSC (R)[74] February 16–18, 2026 1,923 (LV) ± 2.5% 23% 30% 5%[i] 42%

Results

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Primary results by county:
  Turek
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  •   70–80%
  •   80–90%
  Wahls
  •   50–60%
Democratic primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Josh Turek 120,287 62.7
Democratic Zach Wahls 71,663 37.3
Total votes 191,950 100.0

Libertarian primary

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Candidates

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Nominee

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Fundraising

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Campaign finance reports as of April 18, 2026
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Thomas Laehn (L) $42,944 $37,430 $5,513
Source: Federal Election Commission[32]

Results

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On June 2, the Laehn campaign submitted nearly 10,000 signatures to the Iowa Secretary of State, satisfying the 3,500 signature requirement to qualify for the ballot.[76] Laehn was added to the candidate list as the Libertarian Party's candidate.[77]

General election

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Predictions

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Source Ranking As of
Decision Desk HQ[78] Tossup July 31, 2026
Fox News[79] Tossup July 21, 2026
Inside Elections[80] Lean R June 25, 2026
Race To The WH[81] Tossup June 22, 2026
RealClearPolitics[82] Tossup May 19, 2026
Sabato's Crystal Ball[83] Lean R June 2, 2026
The Cook Political Report[84] Lean R June 2, 2026
The Economist[85][j] Lean R June 4, 2026

Post-primary endorsements

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Ashley Hinson (R)
U.S. senators
U.S. representatives
Individuals
  • Zach Lahn, businessman, farmer and nominee for governor of Iowa in 2026[88]
Organizations
Josh Turek (D)
Executive branch officials
State legislators
Organizations
Declined to endorse
State legislators

Fundraising

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Campaign finance reports as of June 30, 2026
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Ashley Hinson (R) $10,217,845 $5,396,429 $6,749,491
Josh Turek (D) $6,276,527 $3,914,213 $2,362,314
Thomas Laehn (L) $54,429 $46,095 $8,334
Source: Federal Election Commission[32]

Polling

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Aggregate polls

Source of poll
aggregation		 Dates
administered		 Dates
updated		 Ashley
Hinson (R)		 Josh
Turek (D)		 Other/Undecided
[k]		 Margin
Race to the WH[94] February 20 – August 6, 2026 August 6, 2026 47.4% 45.5% 7.1% Hinson +1.9%
RealClearPolitics[95] June 15 – August 4, 2026 August 6, 2026 47.0% 46.3% 6.7% Hinson +0.7%
Average 47.2% 45.9% 6.9% Hinson +1.3%
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[a]		 Margin
of error		 Ashley
Hinson (R)		 Josh
Turek (D)		 Other Undecided
Emerson College[96] August 2-4, 2026 712 (LV) ± 3.7% 48% 45% 6%
Beacon Research (D)/
Shaw & Co. Research (R)[97][E]		 June 23–27, 2026 1,003 (RV) ± 3.0% 46% 50% – 4%
New York Times/Siena University[98] June 15–27, 2026 600 (LV) ± 4.7% 48% 46% – 5%
Cygnal (R)[99][F] June 16–19, 2026 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 46% 44% – 10%
Global Strategy Group (D)[100][B] June 8–11, 2026 1,000 (LV) ± 3.1% 45% 47% – 8%
Public Policy Polling (D)[101][G] June 3–4, 2026 557 (RV) ± 4.2% 46% 46% – 7%
June 2, 2026 Primary elections
Echelon Insights (R)[102][H] April 3–9, 2026 377 (LV) ± 6.6% 45% 46% – 9%
GQR (D)[103][B] March 10–16, 2026 1,200 (LV) ± 2.8% 47% 43% – 11%
Change Research (D)[104][105] January 8–11, 2026 1,108 (LV) – 44% 41% 1%[l] 14%
Hypothetical polling

Ashley Hinson vs. Nathan Sage

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[a]		 Margin
of error		 Ashley
Hinson (R)		 Nathan
Sage (D)		 Other Undecided
Change Research (D)[104][105] January 8–11, 2026 1,108 (LV) – 44% 41% 1%[l] 14%

Ashley Hinson vs. Zach Wahls

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[a]		 Margin
of error		 Ashley
Hinson (R)		 Zach
Wahls (D)		 Other Undecided
Echelon Insights (R)[102][H] April 3–9, 2026 377 (LV) ± 6.6% 44% 46% – 10%
GQR (D)[103][B] March 10–16, 2026 1,200 (LV) ± 2.8% 47% 44% – 9%
Change Research (D)[104][105] January 8–11, 2026 1,108 (LV) – 44% 41% 2%[m] 13%

Joni Ernst vs. Jackie Norris

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[a]		 Margin
of error		 Joni
Ernst (R)		 Jackie
Norris (D)		 Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D)[106][D] August 18–19, 2025 572 (V) ± 4.1% 45% 42% 13%

Joni Ernst vs. Nathan Sage

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[a]		 Margin
of error		 Joni
Ernst (R)		 Nathan
Sage (D)		 Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D)[106][D] August 18–19, 2025 572 (V) ± 4.1% 45% 41% 14%

Joni Ernst vs. Josh Turek

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[a]		 Margin
of error		 Joni
Ernst (R)		 Josh
Turek (D)		 Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D)[106][D] August 18–19, 2025 572 (V) ± 4.1% 45% 41% 14%

Joni Ernst vs. Zach Wahls

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[a]		 Margin
of error		 Joni
Ernst (R)		 Zach
Wahls (D)		 Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D)[106][D] August 18–19, 2025 572 (V) ± 4.1% 43% 42% 15%

Joni Ernst vs. Generic Democrat

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[a]		 Margin
of error		 Joni
Ernst (R)		 Generic
Democrat		 Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D)[107][108][I] June 2–3, 2025 568 (V) ± 4.1% 45% 43% 12%

Notes

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  1. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  2. ↑
  3. ↑
  4. ↑
  5. ↑
  6. ↑
  7. ↑
  8. ↑
  9. ↑ "Someone else" with 5%
  10. ↑ The Economist's prediction model uses unconventional terminology. For the purpose of equivalency, their "Very Likely" ratings are formatted as a "Likely" rating while "Likely" ratings are formatted as a "Lean" rating.
  11. ↑ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  12. 1 2 "Would not vote" with 1%
  13. ↑ "Would not vote" with 2%

Partisan clients

  1. 1 2 3 Poll commissioned by VoteVets, which supports Turek
  2. 1 2 3 4 5 Poll sponsored by Turek's campaign
  3. ↑ Poll sponsored by Teamsters Local 238
  4. 1 2 3 4 5 Poll sponsored by Wahls's campaign
  5. ↑ Poll conducted for Fox News
  6. ↑ Poll sponsored by Iowans for Tax Relief
  7. ↑ Poll conducted for the DSCC
  8. 1 2 Poll commissioned by NetChoice
  9. ↑ Poll sponsored by Senate Majority PAC, which supports Democratic candidates

References

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  1. 1 2 3 Jacobs, Jennifer (September 2, 2025). "Joni Ernst announces retirement from Senate in 2026, pledges ongoing community involvement". KGAN. Retrieved September 2, 2025.
  2. ↑ "Could Iowa Democrats Win 2026's Gubernatorial and US Senate Races?". Smart Politics. June 3, 2026. Retrieved June 6, 2026.
  3. ↑ Ta, Linh (November 6, 2024). "Iowa remains solidly Republican". Axios. Retrieved December 13, 2024.
  4. ↑ Barrett, Ted (November 5, 2014). "Joni Ernst wins Iowa Senate race". CNN. Retrieved December 13, 2024.
  5. ↑ Pfannenstiel, Brianne (November 2, 2020). "'Six more years!': Republican U.S. Sen. Joni Ernst wins reelection, beating Democrat Theresa Greenfield". The Des Moines Register. Retrieved December 13, 2024.
  6. ↑ "MSN". www.msn.com. Retrieved June 3, 2025.
  7. ↑ "'We all are going to die': Sen. Ernst response to grilling on Medicaid : NPR". www.npr.org. Retrieved August 2, 2026.
  8. ↑ Richards, Zoë (September 2, 2025). "GOP Rep. Ashley Hinson announces Senate bid for open Iowa seat". NBC News. Retrieved September 2, 2025.
  9. ↑ Hayworth, Bret (April 16, 2025). "Iowa politics: Republican Jim Carlin announces U.S. Senate campaign". KCCI. Retrieved September 3, 2025.
  10. ↑ Belin, Laura (December 9, 2024). "Joshua Smith to challenge Joni Ernst in GOP primary". Bleeding Heartland. Retrieved December 10, 2024.
  11. ↑ Nir, David; Singer, Jeff (September 8, 2025). "Morning Digest: Kansas Republicans want to gerrymander. They have a few problems". The Downballot. Retrieved September 8, 2025.
  12. ↑ Geer, Caleb (January 10, 2026). "Sen. Joni Ernst, additional Iowa Republicans endorse Rep. Ashley Hinson for US Senate". weareiowa.com. Retrieved January 12, 2026.
  13. ↑ Pfannenstiel, Sabine Martin and Brianne (January 27, 2025). "Donald Trump supporter Kari Lake postpones Iowa homecoming for MAGA event". The Des Moines Register. Retrieved February 1, 2025. Speculation swirled among MAGA-minded Republicans in Iowa who suggested on social media that Lake would be a strong potential primary challenger to Ernst...Lake's spokesperson Alex Nicoll told The Arizona Republic after news of the event that she's not planning to be a political candidate.
  14. ↑ Nir, David; Singer, Jeff (September 3, 2025). "Morning Digest: How Democrats can fight back against the Missouri GOP's new gerrymander". The Downballot. Retrieved September 3, 2025.
  15. 1 2 Pfannenstiel, Brianne (September 2, 2025). "Iowa Republican Ashley Hinson announces 2026 US Senate campaign". The Des Moines Register. Retrieved September 4, 2025.
  16. 1 2 3 "Iowa's US Senate candidates make final push before Tuesday's primary". KCRG.com. June 1, 2026. Retrieved June 30, 2026.
  17. 1 2 3 4 "Former AG Tom Miller endorses Josh Turek in Iowa's Democratic Senate primary". The Waterloo-Cedar Falls Courier. September 9, 2025. Retrieved September 9, 2025.{{cite news}}: CS1 maint: deprecated archival service (link)
  18. 1 2 "U.S. Senate election endorsements". Ballotpedia. Retrieved October 24, 2025.
  19. ↑ Belin, Laura (September 7, 2025). "Ashley Hinson's Senate rollout: Short-term success, long-term risks". Bleeding Heartland. Retrieved September 7, 2025.
  20. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 Steinhauser, Paul (September 2, 2025). "Republican rising star Ashley Hinson announces Senate bid in race to succeed Iowa's Ernst". Fox News. Retrieved September 3, 2025.
  21. ↑ Fields, Ashleigh (September 5, 2025). "Trump endorses Ashley Hinson in Iowa Senate race". The Hill. Retrieved September 6, 2025.
  22. 1 2 3 4 5 6 Markus, Nicole (September 5, 2025). "Republicans move quickly to support Ashley Hinson's Senate bid". Politico. Retrieved September 5, 2025.
  23. ↑ Gruber-Miller, Stephen. "Incumbent Joni Ernst endorses Ashley Hinson to succeed her in US Senate". The Des Moines Register. Retrieved January 12, 2026.
  24. ↑ Opsahl, Robin (September 10, 2025). "U.S. Sen. Chuck Grassley: Hinson is 'fully qualified' to take U.S. Senate seat in 2026". Iowa Capital Dispatch. Retrieved June 30, 2026.
  25. ↑ "U.S. Senate election endorsements". Ballotpedia. Retrieved October 31, 2025.
  26. ↑ "Sen. Joni Ernst, additional Iowa Republicans endorse Rep. Ashley Hinson for US Senate". WeAreIowa. January 10, 2026. Retrieved January 12, 2026.
  27. ↑ "Gov. Kim Reynolds endorses Rep. Ashley Hinson for US Senate". WQAD. January 29, 2026. Retrieved January 30, 2026.
  28. 1 2 "Thank You for Supporting Pro-Israel Candidates". Retrieved January 26, 2026.
  29. ↑ "2026 GOP Clean Energy Leaders". ClearPath Action Fund. Retrieved January 28, 2026.
  30. ↑ "22 Republicans endorsed by LGBT organization: Full list of names". Newsweek. February 3, 2026. Retrieved February 4, 2026.
  31. ↑ "Maggie's List Endorses Hinson in Iowa, Noveletsky in New Hampshire". maggieslist.org. October 3, 2025. Retrieved October 24, 2025.
  32. 1 2 3 4 "2026 Election United States Senate – Iowa". fec.gov. Federal Election Commission. Retrieved April 23, 2025.
  33. ↑ "Iowa Statewide GOP Primary Republican Primary Election" (PDF). JMC Analytics and Polling. Retrieved May 29, 2026.
  34. ↑ "NEW POLL: Less Than Half of Iowa Republicans Support Joni Ernst for US Senate in 2026" (PDF). Victory Insights. December 9, 2024. Retrieved April 29, 2025.
  35. ↑ Opsahl, Robin (August 12, 2025). "Iowa Rep. Josh Turek, two-time Paralympian, launches campaign for U.S. Senate". KCCI. Retrieved August 15, 2025.
  36. 1 2 Koons, Cami (June 11, 2025). "Democrat Zach Wahls announces bid for U.S. Senate". Iowa Capital Dispatch. Retrieved June 11, 2025.
  37. ↑ "Bob Krause announces candidacy for U.S. Senate, endorses Bohannan in House race". KGAN. September 2, 2025. Retrieved September 2, 2025.
  38. ↑ Henderson, O. Kay (October 13, 2025). "Coralville Democrat says he'll run for US Senate in 2026". Radio Iowa. Retrieved October 15, 2025.
  39. ↑ Gruber-Miller, Stephen (October 16, 2025). "DMPS Board Chair Jackie Norris ends US Senate campaign after superintendent arrest". The Des Moines Register. Retrieved October 16, 2025.{{cite news}}: CS1 maint: deprecated archival service (link)
  40. ↑ Gruber-Miller, Stephen (February 15, 2026). "Democrat Nathan Sage ends his campaign for Iowa's US Senate seat". The Des Moines Register. Retrieved February 15, 2026.
  41. 1 2 Gruber-Miller, Stephen (February 16, 2026). "Nathan Sage endorses Josh Turek in Iowa's Democratic US Senate race". The Des Moines Register. Retrieved February 16, 2026.
  42. 1 2 Gruber-Miller, Stephen (August 18, 2025). "Democrat J.D. Scholten drops out of Iowa's 2026 US Senate race and endorses Josh Turek". The Des Moines Register. Retrieved August 18, 2025.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: deprecated archival service (link)
  43. ↑ Tallal, Skylar (May 12, 2025). "Iowa Auditor Rob Sand announces 2026 gubernatorial run". KGAN. Retrieved May 12, 2025.
  44. ↑ Wren, Adam (May 13, 2026). "Buttigieg picks sides in Iowa". Politico. Retrieved May 13, 2026.
  45. 1 2 3 Blanchard, Jack; Burns, Dasha (March 16, 2026). "Trump's Sunday night crashout". POLITICO. Retrieved March 16, 2026.
  46. ↑ Blanchard, Jack (March 31, 2026). "The next tests of Trump's power". Politico.
  47. ↑ "Gallego endorses Turek in Iowa Democratic Senate primary". The Gazette. Retrieved May 20, 2026.
  48. ↑ Gruber-Miller, Stephen (May 8, 2026). "Former US Sen. Tom Harkin endorses Josh Turek in Iowa Senate primary". Des Moines Register. Retrieved May 8, 2026.
  49. 1 2 3 4 5 "Outside influence, division grows in Iowa U.S. Senate primary". The Gazette. Retrieved February 21, 2026.
  50. ↑ Lehrich, Jesse (December 5, 2025). "the new politics of endorsements". Nobody's Listening.
  51. 1 2 3 Opsahl, Robin (November 18, 2025). "Democratic U.S. Senate candidates Zach Wahls, Josh Turek tout new endorsements • Iowa Capital Dispatch". Iowa Capital Dispatch. Retrieved November 28, 2025.
  52. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 Price, Dave (September 3, 2025). "Challengers tout endorsements amid major Iowa race shakeup". KWQC. Retrieved September 10, 2025.
  53. ↑ "Charlie Kirk's group endorses Joe Mitchell in Iowa Republican Congressional primary". The Gazette. Retrieved December 8, 2025.
  54. ↑ "Former Democratic state party chair backs Turek for Senate". April 26, 2026. Retrieved April 26, 2026.
  55. ↑ Goldstein, Luke; Schwenk, Katya (June 2, 2026). "Democratic Dark Money PACs Are Taking Aim at Progressives". Jacobin. Retrieved June 13, 2026.
  56. 1 2 Opsahl, Robin (December 3, 2025). "Iowa Rep. Josh Turek, Sen. Zach Wahls receive union endorsements in U.S. Senate Democratic primary". KCRG. Retrieved December 4, 2025.
  57. ↑ "Campaign Almanac: Labor union backs Josh Turek for U.S. Senate in Iowa". Retrieved January 7, 2026.
  58. ↑ Gruber-Miller, Stephen (March 19, 2026). "Elizabeth Warren endorses Zach Wahls in Iowa's US Senate primary race". The Des Moines Register. Retrieved March 19, 2026.
  59. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 "Campaign Almanac: Iowa Democrat Wahls announces slate of endorsements for Senate campaign". The Gazette. July 23, 2025. Retrieved August 29, 2025.
  60. 1 2 "Jason Kander, labor group endorse Zach Wahls for U.S. Senate". Globe Gazette. November 13, 2025. Retrieved November 16, 2025.
  61. ↑ "Former governor candidate Hubbell endorses Wahls in Iowa's Democratic Senate primary". Sioux City Journal. February 5, 2026. Retrieved February 5, 2026.
  62. ↑ "Central Iowa Building and Construction Trades Council endorses Zach Wahls in U.S. Senate race". Globe Gazette. February 23, 2026. Retrieved February 25, 2026.
  63. 1 2 "Campaign Almanac: Iowa construction union backs Summit pipeline, Senate GOP eminent domain bill". The Gazette. January 30, 2026. Retrieved January 31, 2026.
  64. ↑ Woolard, Megan (August 18, 2025). "Wahls makes labor core tenet of U.S. Senate campaign". The Gazette. Retrieved September 10, 2025.
  65. ↑ "Campaign Almanac: U.S. Rep. Jim Jordan endorses Joe Mitchell in Eastern Iowa Republican primary". The Gazette Archived. Retrieved November 25, 2025.
  66. 1 2 3 4 5 Gazette-Lee Des Moines Bureau (September 15, 2025). "Campaign Almanac: Elections forecaster shifts Iowa U.S. House race toward Democrats as race takes shape". The Gazette. Retrieved September 18, 2025.
  67. ↑ "Elevator union backs Wahls in Iowa Senate race; House leader endorses Steen for governor". Sioux City Journal. March 1, 2026. Retrieved March 2, 2026.
  68. ↑ "Zach Wahls". Joint Action Committee for Political Affairs.
  69. ↑ Jensen, Tom (May 21, 2026). "Turek Continues to Hold Commanding Lead Over Wahls in Iowa Democratic Primary Election" (PDF). Public Policy Polling. Retrieved May 22, 2026 – via Punchbowl News.
  70. 1 2 Wren, Adam [@adamwren] (May 6, 2026). "Scooplet: An internal @turek4iowa poll post-debate has him up over 50 percent in Iowa, leading @ZachWahls 53-27" (Tweet). Retrieved May 6, 2026 – via X (formerly Twitter).
  71. 1 2 "Iowa U.S. Senate Democratic Primary Election Survey Results". FM3 Research. April 27, 2026. Retrieved April 28, 2026 – via Politico.
  72. ↑ "Iowa U.S. Senate Democratic Primary Survey". Teamsters Local 238. March 26, 2026. Retrieved April 1, 2026.
  73. ↑ "Zach Wahls leads by 18 points in the primary election for U.S. Senate". GQR. February 24, 2026. Retrieved February 25, 2026 – via Google Drive.
  74. ↑ "NEW NRSC POLL: Wahls leading Turek in Iowa Democrat Primary". National Republican Senatorial Committee. February 19, 2026. Retrieved February 20, 2026.
  75. ↑ Foix, Chase (April 21, 2025). "US Senate hopeful speaks to Rotary Club of Sioux City". KCAU-TV. Retrieved August 7, 2025.
  76. ↑ "Laehn Submits Nomination Petitions to Qualify for 2026 U.S. Senate Race - The Iowa Standard". theiowastandard.com. Retrieved August 2, 2026.
  77. ↑ "Candidate List - November 3, 2026 General Election" (PDF). sos.iowa.gov.
  78. ↑ "2026 Senate Ratings". Decision Desk HQ. Retrieved July 15, 2026.
  79. ↑ Numa, Rémy (July 21, 2026). "Fox News Power Rankings: Voters say they're in economic pain, but will Democrats gain". Fox News. Retrieved August 1, 2026.
  80. ↑ "Senate Ratings". Inside Elections. Retrieved January 14, 2025.
  81. ↑ "2026 Senate Forecast". Race to the WH. Retrieved June 8, 2025.
  82. ↑ "Battle for the Senate 2026". RealClearPolitics. Retrieved May 24, 2026.
  83. ↑ "2026 Senate ratings". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved February 13, 2025.
  84. ↑ "2026 CPR Senate Race Ratings". Cook Political Report. Retrieved April 13, 2025.
  85. ↑ "2026 Senate Forecast". The Economist. Retrieved May 24, 2026.
  86. ↑ Opsahl, Robin. "Sen. Ted Cruz calls for regulating kids' use of AI chatbots at Hinson campaign event". Iowa Capital Dispatch. Retrieved July 25, 2026.
  87. 1 2 Luhmann, Kadin. "Speaker Mike Johnson condemns Democratic Socialists at Iowa Christian gathering". Iowa Capital Dispatch. Retrieved July 17, 2026.
  88. ↑ Olson, Grace (June 3, 2026). "Zach Lahn wins Iowa republican governor nomination". The Daily Iowan. Retrieved June 11, 2026.
  89. ↑ Fingerhut, Hannah (July 29, 2026). "Obama endorses Iowa Democrat Turek for the US Senate in a video of them playing basketball". AP News. Retrieved July 29, 2026.
  90. ↑ "End Citizens United Endorses Josh Turek for U.S. Senate in Iowa". End Citizens United. June 3, 2026. Retrieved June 3, 2026.
  91. ↑ "Josh Turek Victory Fund". J Street PAC. Retrieved July 9, 2026.
  92. ↑ "Jewish Dems Endorsed Candidates". Jewish Democratic Council of America. Retrieved July 9, 2026.
  93. ↑ Baccari, Ray (June 16, 2026). "Jim Carlin tells supporters not to support Ashley Hinson in Senate Race". CBS2Iowa.com. Retrieved June 20, 2026.
  94. ↑ "2026 Senate Polling Average". Race to the WH. Retrieved July 2, 2026.
  95. ↑ "2026 Iowa Senate - Hinson vs Turek". RealClearPolitics. Retrieved August 6, 2026.
  96. ↑ "Iowa 2026 Poll: Sand Has an Edge in Governor's Race; Hinson Holds Narrow Senate Advantage". Emerson College Polling. August 6, 2026. Retrieved August 6, 2026.
  97. ↑ Balara, Victoria (July 1, 2026). "Fox News Poll: A close Senate contest is brewing in Iowa". Fox News. Retrieved July 1, 2026.
  98. ↑ "Control of the Senate Is Up for Grabs, Times/Siena Polls Find". The New York Times. July 1, 2026. Retrieved July 1, 2026.
  99. ↑ "ITR Foundation Poll Shows Iowans Want Taxpayer Protection". Iowans for Tax Relief Foundation. June 26, 2026. Retrieved June 26, 2026.
  100. ↑ "New Polling shows Josh Turek overperforming partisanship and leading Iowa's Senate Race". Global Strategy Group. Retrieved June 22, 2026.
  101. ↑ "Turek and Hinson Tied in First Iowa General Election Poll". Politico. Retrieved June 8, 2026.
  102. 1 2 "NetChoice — April 2026 Antitrust Survey — Topline" (PDF). Echelon Insights. Retrieved April 21, 2026.
  103. 1 2 "Big Democratic Opportunity in Iowa Senate Race". Politico. March 31, 2026. Retrieved April 13, 2026.
  104. 1 2 3 Jacobs, Ben [@Bencjacobs] (February 9, 2026). "Change Research poll in Iowa has three point lead for Hinson (who it has with underwater favs) against all three Dem challengers with it shrinking on an informed ballot" (Tweet). Retrieved February 22, 2026 – via X (formerly Twitter).
  105. 1 2 3 "Latest Polls". FiftyPlusOne. Retrieved February 22, 2026.
  106. 1 2 3 4 Plascencia, Cesar (August 22, 2025). "Democrat Zach Wahls Performs Best Against Ernst in Potential Senate Matchups". Public Policy Polling. Retrieved August 25, 2025.
  107. ↑ "Joni Ernst Unpopular, May Face Tough Reelection". Public Policy Polling. June 4, 2025. Retrieved June 4, 2025.
  108. ↑ "Iowa Survey Results" (PDF). Public Policy Polling. June 4, 2025. Retrieved June 4, 2025.
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