2026 United States Senate election in Iowa
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November 3, 2026
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| Elections in Iowa |
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The 2026 United States Senate election in Iowa will be held on November 3, 2026, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of Iowa. Republican congresswoman Ashley Hinson and Democratic state representative Josh Turek are the nominees for their respective parties. Republican incumbent Joni Ernst is not seeking a third term.[1]
Primary elections were held on June 2. Endorsed by President Donald Trump, Hinson won the Republican nomination with 73.9% of the vote over former state senator Jim Carlin. Turek won the Democratic nomination with 62.6% of the vote over state senator Zach Wahls.
Democrats have not won a Senate election in Iowa since 2008. This is Iowa's first open Senate election to be held concurrently with an open gubernatorial election since 1968.[2]
Background
[edit]Since voting for President Barack Obama in both 2008 and 2012, Iowa has trended increasingly Republican and is now considered a moderately to strongly red state at the federal and state level. Republican nominee Donald Trump won Iowa in 2020 by 8 percentage points, and in 2024 grew his margin to 13 percentage points. Republicans control every statewide executive office (except the state auditor's office), majorities in both chambers of the state legislature, and the entire congressional delegation.[3]
Senator Joni Ernst was first elected in the red wave of 2014, defeating U.S. Representative Bruce Braley by about 8 percentage points. She was re-elected in 2020 defeating Theresa Greenfield by 6.5 percentage points in what was expected to be a dead heat.[4][5]
In May 2025, Ernst sparked controversy after replying to a constituent upset by thousands of preventable deaths resulting from Medicaid cuts in the One Big Beautiful Bill Act by responding, "Well, we all are going to die" during a town hall in north-central Iowa.[6] She later doubled down on her controversial comment, which many observers criticized as dismissive, in a sarcastic social media apology video filmed in a cemetery.[7] Ernst announced in September 2025 that she would not seek reelection.[1]
Republican primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Nominee
[edit]- Ashley Hinson, U.S. representative from Iowa's 2nd congressional district (2021–present)[8]
Eliminated in primary
[edit]- Jim Carlin, former state senator from the 3rd district (2017–2023) and candidate for U.S. Senate in 2022[9]
Withdrawn
[edit]- Joshua Smith, former vice chair of the Libertarian National Committee (2022–2023) and Libertarian candidate for president in 2024[10]
Declined
[edit]- Brenna Bird, Iowa attorney general (2023–present) (running for re-election; endorsed Hinson)[11]
- Joni Ernst, incumbent U.S. senator (2015–present)[1] (endorsed Hinson)[12]
- Kari Lake, senior advisor to the U.S. Agency for Global Media (2025–present), nominee for Governor of Arizona in 2022, and nominee for U.S. Senate in Arizona in 2024[13]
- Zach Nunn, U.S. representative from Iowa's 3rd congressional district (2023–present) (running for re-election; endorsed Hinson)[14][15]
Endorsements
[edit]Jim Carlin
- Executive branch officials
- Michael Flynn, former national security advisor (2017)[16]
- State legislators
- Kevin Alons, SD-07 (2023–present)[17]
- Doug Campbell, SD-30 (2025–present)[17]
- Mark Cisneros, HD-91 (2021–present)[18]
- Samantha Fett, HD-22 (2025–present)[19]
- Sandy Salmon, SD-29 (2023–present)[17]
Ashley Hinson
- Executive branch officials
- Terry Branstad, former ambassador to China (2017–2020) and former governor of Iowa (1983–1999, 2011–2017)[18]
- Markwayne Mullin, secretary of homeland security (2026–present)[20]
- Donald Trump, president of the United States (2017–2021, 2025–present)[21]
- U.S. senators
- Jim Banks, Indiana (2025–present)[20]
- Katie Britt, Alabama (2023–present)[20]
- Shelley Moore Capito, West Virginia (2015–present)[22]
- Tom Cotton, Arkansas (2015–present)[22]
- Joni Ernst, Iowa (2015–present)[23]
- Chuck Grassley, president pro tempore (2019–2021, 2025–present) from Iowa (1981–present)[24]
- Dave McCormick, Pennsylvania (2025–present)[22]
- Jerry Moran, Kansas (2011–present)[22]
- Tim Scott, South Carolina (2013–present)[22]
- John Thune, Senate majority leader (2025–present) from South Dakota (2005–present)[22]
- U.S. representatives
- Tom Emmer, House majority whip (2023–present) from MN-6 (2015–present)[20]
- Mariannette Miller-Meeks, IA-1 (2021–present)[25]
- Zach Nunn, IA-3 (2023–present)[15]
- Steve Scalise, House majority leader (2023–present) from LA-1 (2008–present)[20]
- Elise Stefanik, NY-21 (2015–present)[20]
- Statewide officials
- Brenna Bird, attorney general of Iowa (2023–present)[16]
- Mike Naig, secretary of agriculture of Iowa (2018–present)[16]
- Paul Pate, secretary of state of Iowa (1995–1999, 2015–present)[26]
- Kim Reynolds, governor of Iowa (2017–present)[27]
- State legislators
- Bobby Kaufmann, majority leader of the Iowa House of Representatives (2025–present) from HD-82 (2013–present)[20]
- Organizations
Fundraising
[edit]Italics indicate a declined candidate.
| Campaign finance reports as of April 18, 2026 | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
| Jim Carlin (R) | $293,966 | $279,387 | $14,578 |
| Ashley Hinson (R) | $7,267,266 | $2,679,198 | $6,516,143 |
| Joni Ernst (R) | $6,954,692 | $5,485,942 | $1,997,164 |
| Source: Federal Election Commission[35] | |||
Polling
[edit]| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Ashley Hinson |
Jim Carlin |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JMC Analytics (R)[36] | May 27–28, 2026 | 550 (A) | ± 4.2% | 58% | 19% | 23% |
Results
[edit]
Hinson
- 50–60%
- 60–70%
- 70–80%
- 80–90%
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Ashley Hinson | 153,059 | 74.2 | |
| Republican | Jim Carlin | 53,196 | 25.8 | |
| Total votes | 206,255 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Nominee
[edit]- Josh Turek, state representative from the 20th district (2023–present)[38]
Eliminated in primary
[edit]- Zach Wahls, state senator from the 43rd district (2019–present) and former Senate Minority Leader (2020–2023)[39]
Did not file
[edit]- Bob Krause, former state representative from the 7th district (1973–1978) and perennial candidate[40]
- Richard Sherzan, former state representative from the 63rd district (1979–1981) and candidate for U.S. Senate in Arizona in 2016 and 2018[41]
Withdrawn
[edit]- Jackie Norris, chair of the Des Moines school board and former Chief of Staff to the First Lady of the United States (2009–2011)[42]
- Nathan Sage, market director for KNIA[43] (endorsed Turek)[44]
- J. D. Scholten, state representative from the 1st district (2023–present) and nominee for Iowa's 4th congressional district in 2018 and 2020 (endorsed Turek)[45]
Endorsements
[edit]Josh Turek
- Executive branch officials
- Pete Buttigieg, former secretary of transportation (2021–2025)[46]
- U.S. senators
- Bob Casey Jr., former Pennsylvania (2007–2025)[47]
- Catherine Cortez Masto, Nevada (2017–present)[47]
- Tammy Duckworth, Illinois (2017–present)[48]
- Ruben Gallego, Arizona (2025–present)[49]
- Tom Harkin, former Iowa (1985–2015)[50]
- Maggie Hassan, New Hampshire (2017–present)[47]
- U.S. representatives
- Tony Coelho, former House majority whip (1987–1989) from CA-15 (1979–1989)[51]
- Ro Khanna, CA-17 (2017–present)[52]
- Statewide officials
- Tom Miller, former attorney general of Iowa (1979–1991, 1995–2023)[17]
- Sally Pederson, former lieutenant governor of Iowa (1999–2007) (previously endorsed Norris)[53]
- State legislators
- Robert Dvorsky, former SD-37 (1995–2019)[54]
- Michael Gronstal, former Senate majority leader (2006–2017) from SD-08 (1985–2017)[55]
- Pam Jochum, former Senate president (2013–2017) from SD-36 (2009–2025)[54]
- Jennifer Konfrst, former House minority leader (2021–2025) from HD-32 (2019–present)[51]
- J. D. Scholten, HD-01 (2023–present) and former candidate for this seat[45]
- 2 state senators[b]
- 11 other state representatives[c]
- 8 former state representatives[d]
- Party officials
- Andy McGuire, former chair of the Iowa Democratic Party (2015–2017)[56]
- Individuals
- Organizations
- Labor unions
- Heat and Frost Insulators Local 39[59]
- United Food and Commercial Workers Local 222IN[60]
Zach Wahls
- U.S. senators
- Elizabeth Warren, Massachusetts (2013–present)[61]
- U.S. representatives
- Dave Loebsack, former IA-2 (2007–2021)[62]
- Statewide officials
- Howard Dean, former governor of Vermont (1991–2003) and chair of the DNC (2005–2009)[62]
- Patty Judge, former lieutenant governor of Iowa (2007–2011)[62]
- Jason Kander, former secretary of state of Missouri (2013–2017)[63]
- State legislators
- 3 current state senators[e]
- 4 former state senators[f]
- 3 current state representatives[g]
- 3 former state representatives[h]
- Individuals
- Tim Dwight, former NFL and University of Iowa football player[62]
- Fred Hubbell, nominee for governor of Iowa in 2018[64]
- Labor unions
- Central Iowa Building & Construction Trades Council[65]
- Cedar Rapids/Iowa City Building & Construction Trades Council[66]
- Communications Workers of America Local 7110[53]
- Ironworkers Locals 67, 89 & 111[53][67][68]
- International Association of Fire Fighters Local 610[69]
- International Union of Elevator Constructors Local 28[70]
- Teamsters Local 90[54]
- United Food and Commercial Workers Local 1846[63]
- Heat and Frost Insulators Local 81[59]
- UA Plumbers & Pipefitters Local 125[66]
- Organizations
Jackie Norris (withdrawn)
- Statewide officials
- Sally Pederson, former lieutenant governor of Iowa (1999–2007) (later endorsed Turek)[69]
- State legislators
- Tony Bisignano, SD-15 (2015–present)[69]
- Claire Celsi, former SD-16 (2019–2025) (deceased)[69]
- Local officials
- Connie Boesen, mayor of Des Moines (2024–present)[69]
Fundraising
[edit]Italics indicate withdrawn candidate
| Campaign finance reports as of April 18, 2026 | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
| Nathan Sage (D) | $1,432,562 | $1,432,459 | $102 |
| Josh Turek (D) | $2,808,701 | $2,051,221 | $757,480 |
| Zach Wahls (D) | $3,167,670 | $2,112,265 | $1,055,405 |
| Jackie Norris (D) | $363,563 | $363,563 | $0 |
| J. D. Scholten (D) | $213,415 | $205,271 | $8,144 |
| Source: Federal Election Commission[35] | |||
Polling
[edit]| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Josh Turek |
Zach Wahls |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling (D)[72][A] | May 20–21, 2026 | 672 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 52% | 31% | – | 17% |
| Public Policy Polling (D)[73][B] | May 5–6, 2026 | 764 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 53% | 27% | – | 20% |
| Public Policy Polling (D)[73][B] | April 23, 2026 | – (LV) | – | 41% | 23% | – | 36% |
| FM3 Research (D)[74][A] | April 21–23, 2026 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 48% | 28% | – | 24% |
| Bedrock Polling[75][C] | March 26, 2026 | 1,022 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 38% | 56% | – | 6% |
| FM3 Research (D)[74][A] | March 11–14, 2026 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 25% | 34% | – | 41% |
| GQR (D)[76][D] | February 18–22, 2026 | 605 (LV) | – | 24% | 42% | – | 34% |
| NRSC (R)[77] | February 16–18, 2026 | 1,923 (LV) | ± 2.5% | 23% | 30% | 5%[i] | 42% |
Results
[edit]
Turek
- 50–60%
- 60–70%
- 70–80%
- 80–90%
Wahls
- 50–60%
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Josh Turek | 120,287 | 62.7 | |
| Democratic | Zach Wahls | 71,663 | 37.3 | |
| Total votes | 191,950 | 100.0 | ||
Libertarian primary
[edit]On June 2, the Laehn campaign submitted nearly 10,000 signatures to the Iowa Secretary of State, satisfying the 3,500 signature requirement to qualify for the ballot.[78] Laehn was added to the candidate list as the Libertarian Party's candidate.[79]
Candidates
[edit]Nominee
[edit]- Thomas Laehn, Greene County Attorney[80]
Fundraising
[edit]| Campaign finance reports as of April 18, 2026 | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
| Thomas Laehn (L) | $42,944 | $37,430 | $5,513 |
| Source: Federal Election Commission[35] | |||
General election
[edit]Predictions
[edit]| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| CBS News[81] | Lean R | September 13, 2026 |
| The Cook Political Report[82] | Tossup | September 23, 2026 |
| Decision Desk HQ[83] | Tossup | September 25, 2026 |
| The Economist[84][j] | Tossup | September 26, 2026 |
| FiftyPlusOne[85] | Tossup | September 26, 2026 |
| Fox News[86] | Tossup | September 22, 2026 |
| Inside Elections[87] | Tilt R | September 17, 2026 |
| RealClearPolitics[88] | Tossup | September 24, 2026 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[89] | Tossup | September 22, 2026 |
| Silver Bulletin[90] | Lean D (flip) | September 23, 2026 |
| Split Ticket[91] | Tossup | September 25, 2026 |
Post-primary endorsements
[edit]Ashley Hinson (R)
- Executive branch officials
- George W. Bush, former president of the United States (2001–2009)[92]
- Lee Greenwood, former member of the National Council on the Arts (2008–2022)[93]
- JD Vance, vice president of the United States (2025–present)[94]
- U.S. senators
- John Barrasso, Wyoming (2007–present)[95]
- John Cornyn, Texas (2002–present)[92]
- Ted Cruz, Texas (2013–present)[96]
- John Kennedy, Louisiana (2017–present)[97]
- Eric Schmitt, Missouri (2023–present)[98]
- Rick Scott, Florida (2019–present)[99]
- U.S. representatives
- Mike Johnson, speaker of the House (2023–present) from LA-4 (2017–present)[100]
- State legislators
- Eddie Andrews, HD-43 (2021–present)[98]
- Mike Bousselot, SD-21 (2023–present)[98]
- Jeff Kaufmann, former HD-79 (2005–2013) and chair of the Iowa GOP (2014–present)[98]
- Joe Mitchell, former HD-84 (2019–2023)[101]
- Charley Thomson, HD-58 (2023–present)[102]
- Individuals
- Dan Gable, former freestyle wreslter[101]
- Scott Jennings, political strategist[98]
- Zach Lahn, businessman and nominee for governor of Iowa in 2026[101]
- Chris McGowen, economic development executive[101]
- Bruce Rastetter, businessman and entrepreneur[103]
- Organizations
- America PAC[104]
- Iowa Corn Growers Association PAC[105]
- Iowa Farm Bureau[106]
- NRA Political Victory Fund[107]
- The Family Leader[100]
- Political parties
Josh Turek (D)
- Executive branch officials
- Martin O'Malley, former commissioner of the Social Security Administration (2023–2024)[108]
- Barack Obama, former president of the United States (2009–2017)[109]
- U.S. senators
- Kirsten Gillibrand, New York (2009–present)[110]
- Mark Kelly, Arizona (2020–present)[111]
- Sheldon Whitehouse, Rhode Island (2007–present)[112]
- U.S. representatives
- Jamie Raskin, MD-08 (2017–present)[112]
- State legislators
- Zach Wahls, former Senate minority leader (2020–2023) from SD-43 (2019–present) and primary candidate for this seat[113]
- Individuals
- Jon Bauman, singer and game show host[108]
- Matthew Yglesias, blogger and journalist[114]
- Labor unions
- Organizations
- End Citizens United[116]
- Feminist Majority PAC[117]
- Iowa Farmers Union[118]
- J Street[119]
- Jewish Democratic Council of America[120]
- Reproductive Freedom for All[121]
- Political parties
Declined to endorse
- State legislators
- Jim Carlin, former SD-03 (2017–2023) and primary candidate for this seat (Republican)[123]
Fundraising
[edit]| Campaign finance reports as of June 30, 2026 | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
| Ashley Hinson (R) | $10,217,845 | $5,396,429 | $6,749,491 |
| Josh Turek (D) | $6,276,527 | $3,914,213 | $2,362,314 |
| Thomas Laehn (L) | $54,429 | $46,095 | $8,334 |
| Source: Federal Election Commission[35] | |||
Polling
[edit]Aggregate polls
| Source of poll aggregation |
Dates administered |
Dates updated |
Ashley Hinson (R) |
Josh Turek (D) |
Other/Undecided [k] |
Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 270toWin[124] | September 3 – 22, 2026 | September 22, 2026 | 44.4% | 44.8% | 10.8% | Turek +0.4% |
| Decision Desk HQ[125] | through September 20, 2026 | September 22, 2026 | 43.3% | 45.0% | 11.7% | Turek +1.7% |
| FiftyPlusOne[126] | through September 20, 2026 | September 22, 2026 | 44.7% | 45.2% | 10.1% | Turek +0.5% |
| RealClearPolitics[127] | August 31 – September 20, 2026 | September 22, 2026 | 44.3% | 44.7% | 11.0% | Turek +0.4% |
| Silver Bulletin[90] | through September 18, 2026 | September 19, 2026 | 44.3% | 45.0% | 10.7% | Turek +0.7% |
| Average | 44.2% | 45.1% | 10.7% | Turek +0.9% | ||
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Ashley Hinson (R) |
Josh Turek (D) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| InsiderAdvantage (R)[128] | September 22–23, 2026 | 1,200 (LV) | ± 2.8% | 46% | 47% | 3%[l] | 4% |
| Marist University[129] | September 17–20, 2026 | 1,050 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 42% | 50% | 2% | 5% |
| Trafalgar Group (R)[130] | September 16–18, 2026 | 1,089 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 44% | 42% | 3%[m] | 10% |
| co/efficient (R)[131] | September 14–16, 2026 | 831 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 46% | 42% | 2%[n] | 9% |
| 48% | 43% | – | 9% | ||||
| Cygnal (R)[132][E] | September 9–11, 2026 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 43% | 43% | 4%[o] | 10% |
| Rasmussen Reports (R)[133] | September 8–10, 2026 | 1,031 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 40% | 45% | 4%[p] | 11% |
| YouGov[134] | September 3–8, 2026 | 2,169 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 43% | 44% | 3%[q] | 11% |
| 2,041 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 43% | 47% | 1%[r] | 8% | ||
| Emerson College[135] | August 31 – September 1, 2026 | 750 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 50% | 45% | 1%[s] | 5% |
| Global Strategy Group (D)[136][B] | August 27–31, 2026 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 42% | 46% | 6%[t] | 6% |
| Wedgewood Polls[137] | August 27–29, 2026 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 50% | 48% | — | 2% |
| Abacus Data[138] | August 26–28, 2026 | 323 (LV) | — | 45% | 54% | 1%[u] | — |
| 500 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 46% | 52% | 2%[v] | — | ||
| Suffolk University[139] | August 20–23, 2026 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 45% | 41% | 4%[w] | 10% |
| Emerson College[140] | August 2–4, 2026 | 712 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 48% | 45% | — | 6% |
| Beacon Research (D)/ Shaw & Co. Research (R)[141][F] |
June 23–27, 2026 | 1,003 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 46% | 50% | — | 4% |
| New York Times/Siena University[142] | June 15–27, 2026 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.7% | 48% | 46% | — | 5% |
| Cygnal (R)[143][G] | June 16–19, 2026 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 46% | 44% | — | 10% |
| Global Strategy Group (D)[144][B] | June 8–11, 2026 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 45% | 47% | — | 8% |
| Public Policy Polling (D)[145][H] | June 3–4, 2026 | 557 (RV) | ± 4.2% | 46% | 46% | — | 7% |
| Primary elections | |||||||
| Echelon Insights (R)[146][I] | April 3–9, 2026 | 377 (LV) | ± 6.6% | 45% | 46% | — | 9% |
| GQR (D)[147][B] | March 10–16, 2026 | 1,200 (LV) | ± 2.8% | 47% | 43% | — | 11% |
| Change Research (D)[148][149] | January 8–11, 2026 | 1,108 (LV) | — | 44% | 41% | 1%[x] | 14% |
Hypothetical polling
Ashley Hinson vs. Nathan Sage
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Ashley Hinson (R) |
Nathan Sage (D) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Change Research (D)[148][149] | January 8–11, 2026 | 1,108 (LV) | — | 44% | 41% | 1%[x] | 14% |
Ashley Hinson vs. Zach Wahls
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Ashley Hinson (R) |
Zach Wahls (D) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Echelon Insights (R)[146][I] | April 3–9, 2026 | 377 (LV) | ± 6.6% | 44% | 46% | — | 10% |
| GQR (D)[147][B] | March 10–16, 2026 | 1,200 (LV) | ± 2.8% | 47% | 44% | — | 9% |
| Change Research (D)[148][149] | January 8–11, 2026 | 1,108 (LV) | — | 44% | 41% | 2%[y] | 13% |
Joni Ernst vs. Jackie Norris
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Joni Ernst (R) |
Jackie Norris (D) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling (D)[150][D] | August 18–19, 2025 | 572 (V) | ± 4.1% | 45% | 42% | 13% |
Joni Ernst vs. Nathan Sage
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Joni Ernst (R) |
Nathan Sage (D) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling (D)[150][D] | August 18–19, 2025 | 572 (V) | ± 4.1% | 45% | 41% | 14% |
Joni Ernst vs. Josh Turek
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Joni Ernst (R) |
Josh Turek (D) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling (D)[150][D] | August 18–19, 2025 | 572 (V) | ± 4.1% | 45% | 41% | 14% |
Joni Ernst vs. Zach Wahls
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Joni Ernst (R) |
Zach Wahls (D) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling (D)[150][D] | August 18–19, 2025 | 572 (V) | ± 4.1% | 43% | 42% | 15% |
Joni Ernst vs. Generic Democrat
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Joni Ernst (R) |
Generic Democrat |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling (D)[151][152][J] | June 2–3, 2025 | 568 (V) | ± 4.1% | 45% | 43% | 12% |
Generic Republican vs. Generic Democrat
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Generic Republican |
Generic Democrat |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| co/efficient (R)[131] | September 14–16, 2026 | 831 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 48% | 43% | 9% |
Results
[edit]| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Ashley Hinson | ||||
| Democratic | Josh Turek | ||||
| Libertarian | Thomas Laehn | ||||
| Write-in | |||||
| Total votes | 100.0 | ||||
Notes
[edit]- 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear - ↑
- ↑
- Jerome Amos Jr., HD-62 (2023–present)[54]
- Austin Baeth, HD-36 (2023–present)[54]
- Sean Bagniewski, HD-35 (2023–present)[54]
- Timi Brown-Powers, HD-61 (2015–present)[54]
- Ruth Ann Gaines, HD-33 (2011–present)[54]
- Monica Kurth, HD-98 (2023–present)[54]
- Mary Madison, HD-31 (2023–present)[54]
- Larry McBurney, HD-44 (2025–present)[54]
- Amy Nielsen, HD-85 (2017–present)[54]
- Elizabeth Wilson, HD-73 (2023–present)[54]
- Adam Zabner, HD-90 (2023–present)[54]
- ↑
- Sue Cahill, former HD-52 (2021–2025)[54]
- John Forbes, former HD-44 (2013–2025)[54]
- Charles Isenhart, former HD-72 (2009–2025)[54]
- Charlie McConkey, former HD-15 (2015–2023)[54]
- Kirsten Running-Marquardt, Linn County supervisor (2023–present) and former HD-69 (2009–2023)[54]
- Sami Scheetz, Linn County supervisor (2025–present) and former HD-78 (2023–2025)[54]
- Mark Smith, former HD-71 (2001–2021) and former chair of the Iowa Democratic Party (2020–2021)[54]
- Sharon Steckman, former HD-59 (2009–2025)[54]
- ↑
- Liz Bennett, SD-39 (2023–present)[62]
- Matt Blake, SD-22 (2025–present)[62]
- Izaah Knox, SD-17 (2023–present)[62]
- ↑
- ↑
- Ken Croken, HD-97 (2023–present)[62]
- Daniel Gosa, HD-81 (2025–present)[62]
- David Jacoby, HD-86 (2003–present)[54]
- ↑
- Elesha Gayman, former HD-84 (2007–2001)[51]
- Jerry Kearns, former HD-92 (2009–2019)[51]
- Richard Myers, former HD-30 (1994–2003)[62]
- ↑ "Someone else" with 5%
- ↑ The Economist's prediction model uses unconventional terminology. For the purpose of equivalency, their "Very Likely" ratings are formatted as a "Likely" rating while "Likely" ratings are formatted as a "Lean" rating.
- ↑ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
- ↑ Thomas Laehn (L) with 2%, "Another candidate" with 1%
- ↑ Thomas Laehn (L) with 3%
- ↑ Thomas Laehn (L) with 2%
- ↑ Thomas Laehn (L) with 4%
- ↑ Thomas Laehn (L) with 4%
- ↑ "Someone else" with 1%
"I will not vote in this race" with 2% - ↑ "Someone else" with 1%
- ↑ Thomas Laehn (L) with 1%
- ↑ Thomas Laehn (L) with 6%
- ↑ "Another candidate" with 1%
- ↑ "Another candidate" with 2%
- ↑ Thomas Laehn (L) with 4%
- 1 2 "Would not vote" with 1%
- ↑ "Would not vote" with 2%
Partisan clients
- 1 2 3 Poll commissioned by VoteVets, which supports Turek
- 1 2 3 4 5 6 Poll sponsored by Turek's campaign
- ↑ Poll sponsored by Teamsters Local 238
- 1 2 3 4 5 Poll sponsored by Wahls's campaign
- ↑ Poll sponsored by the Iowans for Tax Relief Foundation
- ↑ Poll conducted for Fox News
- ↑ Poll sponsored by Iowans for Tax Relief
- ↑ Poll conducted for the DSCC
- 1 2 Poll commissioned by NetChoice
- ↑ Poll sponsored by Senate Majority PAC, which supports Democratic candidates
References
[edit]- 1 2 3 Jacobs, Jennifer (September 2, 2025). "Joni Ernst announces retirement from Senate in 2026, pledges ongoing community involvement". KGAN. Retrieved September 2, 2025.
- ↑ "Could Iowa Democrats Win 2026's Gubernatorial and US Senate Races?". Smart Politics. June 3, 2026. Retrieved June 6, 2026.
- ↑ Ta, Linh (November 6, 2024). "Iowa remains solidly Republican". Axios. Retrieved December 13, 2024.
- ↑ Barrett, Ted (November 5, 2014). "Joni Ernst wins Iowa Senate race". CNN. Retrieved December 13, 2024.
- ↑ Pfannenstiel, Brianne (November 2, 2020). "'Six more years!': Republican U.S. Sen. Joni Ernst wins reelection, beating Democrat Theresa Greenfield". The Des Moines Register. Retrieved December 13, 2024.
- ↑ "MSN". www.msn.com. Retrieved June 3, 2025.
- ↑ "'We all are going to die': Sen. Ernst response to grilling on Medicaid : NPR". www.npr.org. May 31, 2025. Retrieved August 2, 2026.
- ↑ Richards, Zoë (September 2, 2025). "GOP Rep. Ashley Hinson announces Senate bid for open Iowa seat". NBC News. Retrieved September 2, 2025.
- ↑ Hayworth, Bret (April 16, 2025). "Iowa politics: Republican Jim Carlin announces U.S. Senate campaign". KCCI. Retrieved September 3, 2025.
- ↑ Belin, Laura (December 9, 2024). "Joshua Smith to challenge Joni Ernst in GOP primary". Bleeding Heartland. Retrieved December 10, 2024.
- ↑ Nir, David; Singer, Jeff (September 8, 2025). "Morning Digest: Kansas Republicans want to gerrymander. They have a few problems". The Downballot. Retrieved September 8, 2025.
- ↑ Geer, Caleb (January 10, 2026). "Sen. Joni Ernst, additional Iowa Republicans endorse Rep. Ashley Hinson for US Senate". weareiowa.com. Retrieved January 12, 2026.
- ↑ Pfannenstiel, Sabine Martin and Brianne (January 27, 2025). "Donald Trump supporter Kari Lake postpones Iowa homecoming for MAGA event". The Des Moines Register. Retrieved February 1, 2025.
Speculation swirled among MAGA-minded Republicans in Iowa who suggested on social media that Lake would be a strong potential primary challenger to Ernst...Lake's spokesperson Alex Nicoll told The Arizona Republic after news of the event that she's not planning to be a political candidate.
- ↑ Nir, David; Singer, Jeff (September 3, 2025). "Morning Digest: How Democrats can fight back against the Missouri GOP's new gerrymander". The Downballot. Retrieved September 3, 2025.
- 1 2 Pfannenstiel, Brianne (September 2, 2025). "Iowa Republican Ashley Hinson announces 2026 US Senate campaign". The Des Moines Register. Retrieved September 4, 2025.
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{{cite news}}: CS1 maint: deprecated archival service (link) - 1 2 "U.S. Senate election endorsements". Ballotpedia. Retrieved October 24, 2025.
- ↑ Belin, Laura (September 7, 2025). "Ashley Hinson's Senate rollout: Short-term success, long-term risks". Bleeding Heartland. Retrieved September 7, 2025.
- 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 Steinhauser, Paul (September 2, 2025). "Republican rising star Ashley Hinson announces Senate bid in race to succeed Iowa's Ernst". Fox News. Retrieved September 3, 2025.
- ↑ Fields, Ashleigh (September 5, 2025). "Trump endorses Ashley Hinson in Iowa Senate race". The Hill. Retrieved September 6, 2025.
- 1 2 3 4 5 6 Markus, Nicole (September 5, 2025). "Republicans move quickly to support Ashley Hinson's Senate bid". Politico. Retrieved September 5, 2025.
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- ↑ Opsahl, Robin (September 10, 2025). "U.S. Sen. Chuck Grassley: Hinson is 'fully qualified' to take U.S. Senate seat in 2026". Iowa Capital Dispatch. Retrieved June 30, 2026.
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- ↑ "NEW POLL: Less Than Half of Iowa Republicans Support Joni Ernst for US Senate in 2026" (PDF). Victory Insights. December 9, 2024. Retrieved April 29, 2025.
- ↑ Opsahl, Robin (August 12, 2025). "Iowa Rep. Josh Turek, two-time Paralympian, launches campaign for U.S. Senate". KCCI. Retrieved August 15, 2025.
- ↑ Koons, Cami (June 11, 2025). "Democrat Zach Wahls announces bid for U.S. Senate". Iowa Capital Dispatch. Retrieved June 11, 2025.
- ↑ "Bob Krause announces candidacy for U.S. Senate, endorses Bohannan in House race". KGAN. September 2, 2025. Retrieved September 2, 2025.
- ↑ Henderson, O. Kay (October 13, 2025). "Coralville Democrat says he'll run for US Senate in 2026". Radio Iowa. Retrieved October 15, 2025.
- ↑ Gruber-Miller, Stephen (October 16, 2025). "DMPS Board Chair Jackie Norris ends US Senate campaign after superintendent arrest". The Des Moines Register. Retrieved October 16, 2025.
{{cite news}}: CS1 maint: deprecated archival service (link) - ↑ Gruber-Miller, Stephen (February 15, 2026). "Democrat Nathan Sage ends his campaign for Iowa's US Senate seat". The Des Moines Register. Retrieved February 15, 2026.
- 1 2 Gruber-Miller, Stephen (February 16, 2026). "Nathan Sage endorses Josh Turek in Iowa's Democratic US Senate race". The Des Moines Register. Retrieved February 16, 2026.
- 1 2 Gruber-Miller, Stephen (August 18, 2025). "Democrat J.D. Scholten drops out of Iowa's 2026 US Senate race and endorses Josh Turek". The Des Moines Register. Retrieved August 18, 2025.
{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: deprecated archival service (link) - ↑ Wren, Adam (May 13, 2026). "Buttigieg picks sides in Iowa". Politico. Retrieved May 13, 2026.
- 1 2 3 Blanchard, Jack; Burns, Dasha (March 16, 2026). "Trump's Sunday night crashout". POLITICO. Retrieved March 16, 2026.
- ↑ Blanchard, Jack (March 31, 2026). "The next tests of Trump's power". Politico.
- ↑ "Gallego endorses Turek in Iowa Democratic Senate primary". The Gazette. May 20, 2026. Retrieved May 20, 2026.
- ↑ Gruber-Miller, Stephen (May 8, 2026). "Former US Sen. Tom Harkin endorses Josh Turek in Iowa Senate primary". Des Moines Register. Retrieved May 8, 2026.
- 1 2 3 4 5 "Outside influence, division grows in Iowa U.S. Senate primary". The Gazette. February 20, 2026. Retrieved February 21, 2026.
- ↑ Lehrich, Jesse (December 5, 2025). "the new politics of endorsements". Nobody's Listening.
- 1 2 3 Opsahl, Robin (November 18, 2025). "Democratic U.S. Senate candidates Zach Wahls, Josh Turek tout new endorsements • Iowa Capital Dispatch". Iowa Capital Dispatch. Retrieved November 28, 2025.
- 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 Price, Dave (September 3, 2025). "Challengers tout endorsements amid major Iowa race shakeup". KWQC. Retrieved September 10, 2025.
- ↑ "Charlie Kirk's group endorses Joe Mitchell in Iowa Republican Congressional primary". The Gazette. December 8, 2025. Retrieved December 8, 2025.
- ↑ "Former Democratic state party chair backs Turek for Senate". April 26, 2026. Retrieved April 26, 2026.
- ↑ "Endorsements - Defend The Vote". Retrieved September 25, 2026.
- ↑ Goldstein, Luke; Schwenk, Katya (June 2, 2026). "Democratic Dark Money PACs Are Taking Aim at Progressives". Jacobin. Retrieved June 13, 2026.
- 1 2 Opsahl, Robin (December 3, 2025). "Iowa Rep. Josh Turek, Sen. Zach Wahls receive union endorsements in U.S. Senate Democratic primary". KCRG. Retrieved December 4, 2025.
- ↑ "Campaign Almanac: Labor union backs Josh Turek for U.S. Senate in Iowa". December 23, 2025. Retrieved January 7, 2026.
- ↑ Gruber-Miller, Stephen (March 19, 2026). "Elizabeth Warren endorses Zach Wahls in Iowa's US Senate primary race". The Des Moines Register. Retrieved March 19, 2026.
- 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 "Campaign Almanac: Iowa Democrat Wahls announces slate of endorsements for Senate campaign". The Gazette. July 23, 2025. Retrieved August 29, 2025.
- 1 2 "Jason Kander, labor group endorse Zach Wahls for U.S. Senate". Globe Gazette. November 13, 2025. Retrieved November 16, 2025.
- ↑ "Former governor candidate Hubbell endorses Wahls in Iowa's Democratic Senate primary". Sioux City Journal. February 5, 2026. Retrieved February 5, 2026.
- ↑ "Central Iowa Building and Construction Trades Council endorses Zach Wahls in U.S. Senate race". Globe Gazette. February 23, 2026. Retrieved February 25, 2026.
- 1 2 "Campaign Almanac: Iowa construction union backs Summit pipeline, Senate GOP eminent domain bill". The Gazette. January 30, 2026. Retrieved January 31, 2026.
- ↑ Woolard, Megan (August 18, 2025). "Wahls makes labor core tenet of U.S. Senate campaign". The Gazette. Retrieved September 10, 2025.
- ↑ "Campaign Almanac: U.S. Rep. Jim Jordan endorses Joe Mitchell in Eastern Iowa Republican primary". The Gazette Archived. Retrieved November 25, 2025.
- 1 2 3 4 5 Gazette-Lee Des Moines Bureau (September 15, 2025). "Campaign Almanac: Elections forecaster shifts Iowa U.S. House race toward Democrats as race takes shape". The Gazette. Retrieved September 18, 2025.
- ↑ "Elevator union backs Wahls in Iowa Senate race; House leader endorses Steen for governor". Sioux City Journal. March 1, 2026. Retrieved March 2, 2026.
- ↑ "Zach Wahls". Joint Action Committee for Political Affairs.
- ↑ Jensen, Tom (May 21, 2026). "Turek Continues to Hold Commanding Lead Over Wahls in Iowa Democratic Primary Election" (PDF). Public Policy Polling. Retrieved May 22, 2026 – via Punchbowl News.
- 1 2 Wren, Adam [@adamwren] (May 6, 2026). "Scooplet: An internal @turek4iowa poll post-debate has him up over 50 percent in Iowa, leading @ZachWahls 53-27" (Tweet). Retrieved May 6, 2026 – via X (formerly Twitter).
- 1 2 "Iowa U.S. Senate Democratic Primary Election Survey Results". FM3 Research. April 27, 2026. Retrieved April 28, 2026 – via Politico.
- ↑ "Iowa U.S. Senate Democratic Primary Survey". Teamsters Local 238. March 26, 2026. Retrieved April 1, 2026.
- ↑ "Zach Wahls leads by 18 points in the primary election for U.S. Senate". GQR. February 24, 2026. Retrieved February 25, 2026 – via Google Drive.
- ↑ "NEW NRSC POLL: Wahls leading Turek in Iowa Democrat Primary". National Republican Senatorial Committee. February 19, 2026. Retrieved February 20, 2026.
- ↑ "Laehn Submits Nomination Petitions to Qualify for 2026 U.S. Senate Race - The Iowa Standard". theiowastandard.com. June 2, 2026. Retrieved August 2, 2026.
- ↑ "Candidate List - November 3, 2026 General Election" (PDF). sos.iowa.gov.
- ↑ Foix, Chase (April 21, 2025). "US Senate hopeful speaks to Rotary Club of Sioux City". KCAU-TV. Retrieved August 7, 2025.
- ↑ Hubbard, Kaia; Linton, Caroline; Yilek, Caitlin; Walsh, Joe (September 13, 2026). "2026 midterm election races to watch". CBS News. Retrieved September 26, 2026.
- ↑ "2026 CPR Senate Race Ratings". Cook Political Report. Retrieved September 26, 2026.
- ↑ "2026 Senate Ratings". Decision Desk HQ. Retrieved September 26, 2026.
- ↑ "2026 Senate Forecast". The Economist. Retrieved September 26, 2026.
- ↑ "2026 Congressional Forecast". FiftyPlusOne. Retrieved September 26, 2026.
- ↑ Numa, Rémy (September 22, 2026). "Fox News Power Rankings: For the Democrats, where could it possibly go wrong?". Fox News. Retrieved September 26, 2026.
- ↑ "Senate Ratings". Inside Elections. Retrieved September 26, 2026.
- ↑ "Battle for the Senate 2026". RealClearPolitics. Retrieved September 26, 2026.
- ↑ "2026 Senate ratings". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved September 26, 2026.
- 1 2 Silver, Nate; McKown-Dawson, Eli (September 23, 2026) [August 11, 2026]. "FLIPR 2026 midterm election forecast". Silver Bulletin. Archived from the original on September 23, 2026. Retrieved September 23, 2026 – via Substack.
- ↑ "Split Ticket 2026 Midterms Model". The Argument. Retrieved September 26, 2026 – via Substack.
- 1 2 Schleifer, Theodore; Wagner, Bayliss (September 21, 2026). "Bush and Cornyn Leave Out Paxton as They Raise Cash for Senate Candidates". The New York Times. Retrieved September 21, 2026.
- ↑ Opsahl, Robin (August 29, 2026). "Sen. Ted Cruz criticizes Democrats as 'Marxists and Islamists' at Hinson event in Iowa". Iowa Capital Dispatch. Retrieved August 30, 2026.
- ↑ Pfannenstiel, Brianne (September 18, 2026). "JD Vance targets Rob Sand in Council Bluffs rally ahead of midterms". The Des Moines Register. Retrieved September 18, 2026.
- ↑ Opsahl, Robin (September 18, 2026). "Hinson, Sen. John Barrasso of Wyoming highlight GOP tips, overtime tax cuts". Iowa Capital Dispatch. Retrieved September 19, 2026.
- ↑ Opsahl, Robin (July 25, 2026). "Sen. Ted Cruz calls for regulating kids' use of AI chatbots at Hinson campaign event". Iowa Capital Dispatch. Retrieved July 25, 2026.
- ↑ Opsahl, Robin (September 19, 2026). "US Sen. John Kennedy, in Iowa, predicts end of Iran war in 6 months". Iowa Capital Dispatch. Retrieved September 19, 2026.
- 1 2 3 4 5 6 Breckenridge, Ayrton (August 24, 2026). "Supporters gathered for Rep. Ashley Hinson's 5th annual BBQ bash". The Des Moines Register. Retrieved August 28, 2026.
- ↑ Draisey, Brooklyn (September 12, 2026). "Iowa, national politicians court voters at CyHawk tailgates". Iowa Capital Dispatch. Retrieved September 15, 2026.
- 1 2 Luhmann, Kadin (July 17, 2026). "Speaker Mike Johnson condemns Democratic Socialists at Iowa Christian gathering". Iowa Capital Dispatch. Retrieved July 17, 2026.
- 1 2 3 4 LaCross, Travis (August 30, 2026). "See photos of the Ashley Hinson BBQ Bash fundraiser". The Des Moines Register. Retrieved August 30, 2026.
- ↑ Hotle, David (August 19, 2026). "GOP members endorse Ashley Hinson". Clear Lake Mirror Report. Retrieved August 30, 2026.
- ↑ Oren Smith, Zachary (August 5, 2026). "Pipeline exec Bruce Rastetter is bankrolling Ashley Hinson". Iowa Starting Line. Retrieved August 5, 2026.
- ↑ Kamisar, Ben (September 3, 2026). "Elon Musk's super PAC dives into the midterms to bolster Republicans in battleground races". NBC News. Retrieved September 7, 2026.
- ↑ "Iowa Corn Growers Association PAC Announces 2026 Candidate Endorsements". Retrieved September 22, 2026.
- ↑ "Iowa Farm Bureau names Iowa Secretary of Agriculture Mike Naig and U.S. Senate candidate Ashley Hinson as a 'Friend of Agriculture'". Retrieved September 2, 2026.
- ↑ "NRA-PVF Grades - Iowa". Archived from the original on September 15, 2026. Retrieved September 15, 2026.
- 1 2 Draisey, Brooklyn (September 9, 2026). "Josh Turek calls for lifting income cap on Social Securety to sustain program". Iowa Capital Dispatch. Retrieved September 10, 2026.
- ↑ Fingerhut, Hannah (July 29, 2026). "Obama endorses Iowa Democrat Turek for the US Senate in a video of them playing basketball". AP News. Retrieved July 29, 2026.
- ↑ Shutt, Jennifer (September 22, 2026). "GOP's 'rubberstamp' of Trump puts US Senate in play, Dem campaign chair says". Iowa Capital Dispatch. Retrieved September 23, 2026.
- ↑ Opsahl, Robin (August 13, 2026). "Sen. Mark Kelly calls for Iowans to elect Democrats so Congress can investigate Trump 'corruption'". Iowa Capital Dispatch. Retrieved August 14, 2026.
- 1 2 Schroeder, Joanna (August 29, 2026). "Iowa Democratic candidates push for term limits at Polk County Steak Fry". Iowa Capital Dispatch. Retrieved August 30, 2026.
- ↑ Opsahl, Robin (June 2, 2026). "Rep. Josh Turek wins U.S. Senate primary race against Sen. Zach Wahls". Iowa Capital Dispatch. Retrieved August 12, 2026.
- ↑ Yglesias, Matthew (July 13, 2026). "The midterm candidates who deserve your money". Slow Boring. Retrieved September 22, 2026.
- ↑ "Largest Federal Employee Union Endorses Iowa's Josh Turek for Election to U.S. Senate". AFGE. September 1, 2026. Retrieved September 4, 2026.
- ↑ "End Citizens United Endorses Josh Turek for U.S. Senate in Iowa". End Citizens United. June 3, 2026. Retrieved June 3, 2026.
- ↑ "2026 – Feminist Majority PAC". feministmajoritypac.org. Retrieved May 29, 2026.
- ↑ "Iowa Farmers Union Endorses Congressional Candidates for 2026 Elections". Retrieved September 24, 2026.
- ↑ "Josh Turek". J Street PAC. Retrieved July 9, 2026.
- ↑ "Jewish Dems Endorsed Candidates". Jewish Democratic Council of America. Retrieved July 9, 2026.
- ↑ "Elections - Reproductive Freedom for All". Retrieved September 3, 2026.
- ↑ "Federal Candidates - Iowa Democratic Party". Retrieved August 6, 2026.
- ↑ Baccari, Ray (June 16, 2026). "Jim Carlin tells supporters not to support Ashley Hinson in Senate Race". CBS2Iowa.com. Retrieved June 20, 2026.
- ↑ "2026 Polls: Iowa Senate". 270toWin. Retrieved August 26, 2026.
- ↑ "2026 Iowa US Senate". Decision Desk HQ. Retrieved September 3, 2026.
- ↑ "FiftyPlusOne - Iowa General Senate Election Polls and Average for the 2026 General Election". fiftyplusone.news. Retrieved August 15, 2026.
- ↑ "2026 Iowa Senate - Hinson vs Turek". RealClearPolitics. Retrieved August 6, 2026.
- ↑ "IA Topline Tabs". InsiderAdvantage. September 26, 2026. Retrieved September 26, 2026.
- ↑ "2026 Midterm Elections in Iowa, September 2026". Marist Poll. Retrieved September 22, 2026.
- ↑ "Iowa Statewide General Election Poll September 2026" (PDF). thetrafalgargroup. Retrieved September 19, 2026.
- 1 2 "Iowa · U.S. Senate". co/efficient. Retrieved September 16, 2026.
- ↑ "Survey of Likely General Election Voters Iowa Statewide" (PDF). Iowans for Tax Relief Foundation. Retrieved September 15, 2026.
- ↑ "Iowa Senate: Turek Leads by 5 Points". Rasmussen Reports. Retrieved September 11, 2026.
- ↑ "Iowa General Election 2026" (PDF). September 11, 2026. Retrieved September 11, 2026.
- ↑ "Iowa 2026 Poll: Hinson Leads Turek for U.S. Senate, Sand Maintains Edge over Lahn for Governor". Emerson College Polling. September 3, 2026. Retrieved September 3, 2026.
- ↑ "New Polling Shows Josh Turek Holding Narrow Lead in Highly Competitive Iowa Senate Race" (PDF). Global Strategy Group. Retrieved September 9, 2026.
- ↑ "Iowa 2026 General Election Survey U.S. Senate & Governor". Wedgewood Polls. August 30, 2026. Retrieved September 1, 2026.
- ↑ Coletto, David (September 2, 2026). "The Trade War Next Door: What American Voters Think About Tariffs, Canada and the Battle for the U.S. Senate". Abacus Data. Retrieved September 2, 2026.
- ↑ "IOWA AUGUST" (PDF). Suffolk University. August 26, 2026. Retrieved August 26, 2026.
- ↑ "Iowa 2026 Poll: Sand Has an Edge in Governor's Race; Hinson Holds Narrow Senate Advantage". Emerson College Polling. August 6, 2026. Retrieved August 6, 2026.
- ↑ Balara, Victoria (July 1, 2026). "Fox News Poll: A close Senate contest is brewing in Iowa". Fox News. Retrieved July 1, 2026.
- ↑ "Control of the Senate Is Up for Grabs, Times/Siena Polls Find". The New York Times. July 1, 2026. Retrieved July 1, 2026.
- ↑ "ITR Foundation Poll Shows Iowans Want Taxpayer Protection". Iowans for Tax Relief Foundation. June 26, 2026. Retrieved June 26, 2026.
- ↑ "New Polling shows Josh Turek overperforming partisanship and leading Iowa's Senate Race". Global Strategy Group. Retrieved June 22, 2026.
- ↑ "Turek and Hinson Tied in First Iowa General Election Poll". Politico. Retrieved June 8, 2026.
- 1 2 "NetChoice — April 2026 Antitrust Survey — Topline" (PDF). Echelon Insights. Retrieved April 21, 2026.
- 1 2 "Big Democratic Opportunity in Iowa Senate Race". Politico. March 31, 2026. Retrieved April 13, 2026.
- 1 2 3 Jacobs, Ben [@Bencjacobs] (February 9, 2026). "Change Research poll in Iowa has three point lead for Hinson (who it has with underwater favs) against all three Dem challengers with it shrinking on an informed ballot" (Tweet). Retrieved February 22, 2026 – via X (formerly Twitter).
- 1 2 3 "Latest Polls". FiftyPlusOne. Retrieved February 22, 2026.
- 1 2 3 4 Plascencia, Cesar (August 22, 2025). "Democrat Zach Wahls Performs Best Against Ernst in Potential Senate Matchups". Public Policy Polling. Retrieved August 25, 2025.
- ↑ "Joni Ernst Unpopular, May Face Tough Reelection". Public Policy Polling. June 4, 2025. Retrieved June 4, 2025.
- ↑ "Iowa Survey Results" (PDF). Public Policy Polling. June 4, 2025. Retrieved June 4, 2025.
External links
[edit]- Official campaign websites