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// Workers AI · dad joke modeWhat did Ohio's 2026 House seat say? It's a representative sample.

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From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
(Redirected from Alea Nadeem)

2026 United States House of Representatives elections in Ohio
← 2024
November 3, 2026
2028 →
All 15 Ohio seats to the United States House of Representatives
 
Party Republican Democratic
Last election 10 5

The 2026 United States House of Representatives elections in Ohio will be held on November 3, 2026, to elect the fifteen U.S. representatives from the state of Ohio, one from each of the state's congressional districts. The elections coincide with other elections to the House of Representatives, a special election to the United States Senate, and various state and local elections. The primary elections took place on May 5, 2026.[1]

Background

[edit]

Redistricting

[edit]
Map of Ohio's congressional districts as passed by the Ohio Redistricting Commission on October 31, 2025. This will be used for the 2026 House elections.[2]
Interactive map version

Due to constitutional requirements, Ohio needed to redraw its congressional map in time for the 2026 election, as the current map was only valid for two cycles. Republicans initially planned for a map that would have resulted in a 13 Republican to two Democrat representation in the state, netting the party three seats. In October 2025, Republicans and Democrats on the state's redistricting commission reached a deal that resulted in a map that made Ohio's 1st and 9th congressional district more Republican friendly. Democrats protected the Akron-area 13th congressional district, which was redrawn to be slightly more friendly towards Democrats. The redrawn maps are expected to increase Republican chances to flip OH-1 and OH-9, which Republican nominee Donald Trump would have won in the 2024 presidential election by three and eleven points respectively.[3]

Statewide polling

[edit]

Statewide congressional polls

[edit]
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[a]		 Margin
of error		 Democratic Republican Other Undecided
Marist University[4] September 24–27, 2026 1,298 (RV) ± 3.8% 50% 47% 1%[b] 2%

District 1

[edit]
2026 Ohio's 1st congressional district election
← 2024
2028 →
 
Nominee Greg Landsman Eric Conroy
Party Democratic Republican
Incumbent U.S. Representative

Greg Landsman
Democratic


Ohio's 1st congressional district boundary from the 2026 elections
Interactive map version

The 1st district is based in the city of Cincinnati, stretching northward to Warren County and Clinton County after successful redistricting efforts. The incumbent is Democrat Greg Landsman, who was re-elected with 54.6% of the vote in 2024.

Democratic primary

[edit]

Nominee

[edit]

Eliminated in primary

[edit]
  • Damon Lynch IV, activist[6]

Endorsements

[edit]
Damon Lynch IV
Organizations

Fundraising

[edit]
Campaign finance reports as of December 31, 2025
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Greg Landsman (D) $1,828,892 $511,063 $1,497,943
Source: Federal Election Commission[14]

Results

[edit]
Democratic primary results[15]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Greg Landsman (incumbent) 36,984 67.9
Democratic Damon Lynch IV 17,483 32.1
Total votes 54,467 100.0

Republican primary

[edit]

Nominee

[edit]

Eliminated in primary

[edit]
  • Holly Adams, sales person[17]
  • Rosemary Oglesby-Henry, nonprofit CEO[18]

Withdrawn

[edit]
  • Steven Erbeck, dentist (remained on ballot)[17]

Endorsements

[edit]
Eric Conroy

Executive branch officials

U.S. senators

U.S. representatives

Organizations

Fundraising

[edit]
Campaign finance reports as of March 31, 2026
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Holly Adams (R) $408,835 $221,450 $187,385
Eric Conroy (R) $823,988 $450,011 $373,977
Steven Erbeck (R) $619,144 $439,509 $179,635
Rosemary Oglesby-Henry (R) $44,065 $42,350 $1,715
Source: Federal Election Commission[14]

Results

[edit]
Republican primary results[22]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Eric Conroy 25,603 71.9
Republican Holly Adams 7,020 19.7
Republican Rosemary Oglesby-Henry 2,994 8.4
Total votes 35,617 100.0

Libertarian primary

[edit]

Replacement nominee

[edit]

Withdrew after nomination

[edit]
  • John Hancock, engineering technician[24]

Eliminated in primary

[edit]
  • Jason Stoops, property owner (write-in)[17]

Fundraising

[edit]
Campaign finance reports as of December 31, 2025
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
John Hancock (L) $1,316 $0 $1,316
Source: Federal Election Commission[14]

Results

[edit]
Libertarian primary results[25]
Party Candidate Votes %
Libertarian John Hancock 535 91.3
Libertarian Jason Stoops (write-in) 51 8.7
Total votes 586 100.0

General election

[edit]

Post-primary endorsements

[edit]

Predictions

[edit]
Source Ranking As of
Decision Desk HQ[31] Likely D September 25, 2026
The Cook Political Report[32] Lean D April 7, 2026
Inside Elections[33] Tilt D June 12, 2026
Sabato's Crystal Ball[34] Lean D March 26, 2026

Polling

[edit]
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[a]		 Margin
of error		 Greg
Landsman (D)		 Eric
Conroy (R)		 Other Undecided
Quantus Insights[35] August 21–24, 2026 509 (LV) ± 4.6% 47% 43% 1%[c] 9%
48%[d] 45% 2%[e] 5%
52% 48% – –

Fundraising

[edit]

Italics indicate a withdrawn candidate.

Campaign finance reports as of June 30, 2026
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Greg Landsman (D) $4,633,250 $1,203,152 $3,610,214
Eric Conroy (R) $1,513,614 $1,039,457 $474,156
John Hancock (L) $1,316 $0 $1,316
Source: Federal Election Commission[36]

Results

[edit]
2026 Ohio's 1st congressional district election
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Democratic Greg Landsman (incumbent)
Republican Eric Conroy
Libertarian Nathan Weise
Total votes

District 2

[edit]
2026 Ohio's 2nd congressional district election
← 2024
2028 →
 
Nominee David Taylor Jennifer Mazzuckelli
Party Republican Democratic
Incumbent U.S. Representative

David Taylor
Republican


Ohio's 2nd congressional district boundary from the 2026 elections
Interactive map version

The new 2nd district takes in the eastern Cincinnati suburbs, including Amelia, and stretches eastward along the Ohio River, taking in Athens and Marietta. The incumbent is Republican David Taylor, who was elected with 73.50% of the vote in 2024.

Republican primary

[edit]

Nominee

[edit]

Eliminated in primary

[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]
David Taylor
Executive branch officials
Organizations

Fundraising

[edit]
Campaign finance reports as of December 31, 2025
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
David Taylor (R) $639,826 $357,430 $410,203
Source: Federal Election Commission[41]

Results

[edit]
Republican primary results[22]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican David Taylor (incumbent) 51,885 75.0
Republican Bob Carr 17,321 25.0
Total votes 69,206 100.0

Democratic primary

[edit]

Nominee

[edit]

Eliminated in primary

[edit]
  • Todd Wilson, educator and administrator[38][37]

Results

[edit]
Democratic primary results [15]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Jennifer Mazzuckelli 15,381 53.3
Democratic Todd Wilson 13,484 46.7
Total votes 28,865 100.0

Libertarian primary

[edit]

Filed paperwork

[edit]
  • Kenneth Jacob Dietz[42]

General election

[edit]

Predictions

[edit]
Source Ranking As of
Decision Desk HQ[31] Safe R July 14, 2026
The Cook Political Report[32] Solid R November 2, 2025
Inside Elections[33] Solid R October 31, 2025
Sabato's Crystal Ball[34] Safe R April 10, 2025

Post-primary endorsements

[edit]
David Taylor (R)
Organizations

Fundraising

[edit]
Campaign finance reports as of May 8, 2026
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
David Taylor (R) $889,488 $540,062 $477,234
Jennifer Mazzuckelli (D) $0 $0 $0
Source: Federal Election Commission[36]

Results

[edit]
2026 Ohio's 2nd congressional district election
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Republican David Taylor (incumbent)
Democratic Jennifer Mazzuckelli
Total votes

District 3

[edit]
2026 Ohio's 3rd congressional district election
← 2024
2028 →
 
Nominee Joyce Beatty Cleophus Dulaney
Party Democratic Republican
Incumbent U.S. Representative

Joyce Beatty
Democratic


Ohio's 3rd congressional district boundary from the 2026 elections
Interactive map version

The 3rd district is located entirely within the borders of Franklin County, taking in inner Columbus, Bexley, Whitehall, as well as Franklin County's share of Reynoldsburg. The incumbent is Democrat Joyce Beatty, who was re-elected with 70.70% of the vote in 2024.

Democratic primary

[edit]

Nominee

[edit]

Eliminated in primary

[edit]
  • Joe Gerard, engineer[45]

Endorsements

[edit]

Fundraising

[edit]
Campaign finance reports as of December 31, 2025
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Joyce Beatty (D) $702,305 $695,492 $2,719,386
Source: Federal Election Commission[47]

Results

[edit]
Democratic primary results[15]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Joyce Beatty (incumbent) 62,851 79.3
Democratic Joe Gerard 16,381 20.7
Total votes 79,232 100.0

Republican primary

[edit]

Nominee

[edit]
  • Cleophus Dulaney, candidate for this district in 2020[45]

Results

[edit]
Republican primary results[22]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Cleophus Dulaney 15,779 100.0
Total votes 15,779 100.0

Independents

[edit]

Filed paperwork

[edit]

General election

[edit]

Post-primary endorsements

[edit]
Joyce Beatty (D)
Labor unions

Predictions

[edit]
Source Ranking As of
Decision Desk HQ[31] Safe D July 14, 2026
The Cook Political Report[32] Solid D November 2, 2025
Inside Elections[33] Solid D October 31, 2025
Sabato's Crystal Ball[34] Safe D April 10, 2025

Fundraising

[edit]
Campaign finance reports as of May 8, 2026
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Joyce Beatty (D) $944,541 $926,538 $2,730,577
Cleophus Dulaney (R) $0 $0 $0
Source: Federal Election Commission[36]

Results

[edit]
2026 Ohio's 3rd congressional district election
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Democratic Joyce Beatty (incumbent)
Republican Cleophus Dulaney
Total votes

District 4

[edit]
2026 Ohio's 4th congressional district election
← 2024
2028 →
 
Nominee Jim Jordan Joshua Kolasinski
Party Republican Democratic
Incumbent U.S. Representative

Jim Jordan
Republican


Ohio's 4th congressional district boundary from the 2026 elections
Interactive map version

The 4th district sprawls from the Columbus exurbs, including Marion and Lima into north-central Ohio, taking in Mansfield. The incumbent is Republican Jim Jordan, who was re-elected with 68.5% of the vote in 2024.

Republican primary

[edit]

Nominee

[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]
Jim Jordan

Executive branch officials

Organizations

Fundraising

[edit]
Campaign finance reports as of December 31, 2025
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Jim Jordan (R) $2,662,420 $3,589,503 $6,559,797
Source: Federal Election Commission[51]

Results

[edit]
Republican primary results[22]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Jim Jordan (incumbent) 75,210 100.0
Total votes 75,210 100.0

Democratic primary

[edit]

Nominee

[edit]
  • Joshua Kolasinski, small business owner[52]

Results

[edit]
Democratic primary results[15]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Joshua Kolasinski 26,406 100.0
Total votes 26,406 100.0

Independents

[edit]

Declared

[edit]

Withdrawn

[edit]
  • Tamie Wilson, businesswoman and Democratic nominee for this district in 2022 and 2024[54]

General election

[edit]

Predictions

[edit]
Source Ranking As of
Decision Desk HQ[31] Safe R July 14, 2026
The Cook Political Report[32] Solid R November 2, 2025
Inside Elections[33] Solid R October 31, 2025
Sabato's Crystal Ball[34] Safe R April 10, 2025

Post-primary endorsements

[edit]
Jim Jordan (R)
Organizations

Fundraising

[edit]
Campaign finance reports as of May 8, 2026
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Jim Jordan (R) $3,692,364 $5,203,298 $5,975,947
Joshua Kolasinski (D) $4,832 $1,162 $3,670
Tamie Wilson (I) $22,050 $0 $520,820
Source: Federal Election Commission[36]

Results

[edit]
2026 Ohio's 4th congressional district election
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Republican Jim Jordan (incumbent)
Democratic Joshua Kolasinski
Independent Tracey Tackett
Total votes

Post-primary endorsements

[edit]
Tracey Tackett (I)
Political parties
Labor unions

District 5

[edit]
2026 Ohio's 5th congressional district election
← 2024
2028 →
 
Nominee Bob Latta Brian Shaver
Party Republican Democratic
Incumbent U.S. Representative

Bob Latta
Republican


Ohio's 5th congressional district boundary from the 2026 elections
Interactive map version

The 5th district encompasses the lower portion of Northwestern Ohio and the middle shore of Lake Erie, taking in Findlay, Lorain, Oberlin, and Bowling Green. The incumbent is Republican Bob Latta, who was re-elected with 67.50% of the vote in 2024.

Republican primary

[edit]

Nominee

[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]
Bob Latta

Executive branch officials

Fundraising

[edit]
Campaign finance reports as of December 31, 2025
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Bob Latta (R) $950,120 $524,489 $1,022,426
Source: Federal Election Commission[60]

Results

[edit]
Republican primary results[22]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Bob Latta (incumbent) 58,056 100.0
Total votes 58,056 100.0

Democratic primary

[edit]

Nominee

[edit]

Eliminated in primary

[edit]
  • Daniel Burket, small business owner[62][59]
  • Martin Heberling III, educator and candidate for this district in 2022[63][59]
  • Scott Tabor, sheet metal worker[63][59]

Fundraising

[edit]
Campaign finance reports as of December 31, 2025
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Daniel Burket (D) $664 $23 $640
Source: Federal Election Commission[60]

Results

[edit]
Democratic primary results[15]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Brian Shaver 11,914 28.7
Democratic Martin Heberling III 10,706 25.8
Democratic Daniel Burket 10,145 24.4
Democratic Scott Tabor 8,759 21.1
Total votes 41,524 100.0

Libertarian primary

[edit]

Nominee

[edit]
  • Michael J. Veloff (write-in)[59]

Endorsements

[edit]
Michael J. Veloff
Political parties

Results

[edit]
Libertarian primary results [25]
Party Candidate Votes %
Libertarian Michael J. Veloff (write-in) 25 100.0
Total votes 25 100.0

Independents

[edit]

Filed paperwork

[edit]

General election

[edit]

Predictions

[edit]
Source Ranking As of
Decision Desk HQ[31] Safe R July 14, 2026
The Cook Political Report[32] Solid R November 2, 2025
Inside Elections[33] Solid R October 31, 2025
Sabato's Crystal Ball[34] Safe R April 10, 2025

Post-primary endorsements

[edit]
Bob Latta (R)
Organizations

Fundraising

[edit]
Campaign finance reports as of May 8, 2026
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Bob Latta (R) $1,242,571 $936,272 $903,094
Brian Shaver (D) $0 $0 $0
Source: Federal Election Commission[36]

Results

[edit]
2026 Ohio's 5th congressional district election
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Republican Bob Latta (incumbent)
Democratic Brian Shaver
Libertarian Michael Veloff
Total votes

District 6

[edit]
2026 Ohio's 6th congressional district election
← 2024
2028 →
 
Nominee Michael Rulli Elizabeth Kirtley
Party Republican Democratic
Incumbent U.S. Representative

Michael Rulli
Republican


Ohio's 6th congressional district boundary from the 2026 elections
Interactive map version

The 6th district encompasses parts of Appalachian Ohio and the Mahoning Valley, including Youngstown, Steubenville, and Massillon. The incumbent is Republican Michael Rulli, who was re-elected with 66.7% of the vote in 2024.

Republican primary

[edit]

Nominee

[edit]

Eliminated in primary

[edit]
  • Jullie Kelley, pastor and town board candidate in 2023[69][68]

Endorsements

[edit]
Michael Rulli

Executive branch officials

Fundraising

[edit]
Campaign finance reports as of December 31, 2025
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Michael Rulli (R) $726,044 $486,871 $309,810
Source: Federal Election Commission[70]

Results

[edit]
Republican primary results[22]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Michael Rulli (incumbent) 47,868 76.2
Republican Jullie Kelley 14,945 23.8
Total votes 62,813 100.0

Democratic primary

[edit]

Nominee

[edit]
  • Elizabeth Kirtley, freelance writer[71][68]

Eliminated in primary

[edit]

Withdrawn

[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]
Adrian Vitus

Executive branch officials

U.S. representatives

Political parties

Malcolm Ritchie

Political action committees

Sean Connolly

Political organizations

Fundraising

[edit]

Italics indicate a withdrawn candidate.

Campaign finance reports as of December 31, 2025
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Michael Kripchak (D) $1,700 $4,854 $2,840
Malcolm Ritchie (D) $8,669 $7,835 $834
Source: Federal Election Commission[70]

Results

[edit]
Democratic primary results[15]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Elizabeth Kirtley 12,318 31.5
Democratic Adrian Vitus 8,602 22.0
Democratic Sean Connolly 8,053 20.6
Democratic Brent Hanni 3,765 9.6
Democratic Malcolm Ritchie 3,520 9.0
Democratic Charles DiPalma 2,797 7.2
Democratic Christopher Lafont (write-in) 12 0.03
Total votes 39,067 100.0

General election

[edit]

Post-primary endorsements

[edit]
Michael Rulli (R)
Labor unions
Organizations

Predictions

[edit]
Source Ranking As of
Decision Desk HQ[31] Safe R July 14, 2026
The Cook Political Report[32] Solid R November 2, 2025
Inside Elections[33] Solid R October 31, 2025
Sabato's Crystal Ball[34] Safe R April 10, 2025

Fundraising

[edit]
Campaign finance reports as of May 8, 2026
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Michael Rulli (R) $889,566 $620,546 $339,657
Elizabeth Kirtley (D) $0 $0 $0
Source: Federal Election Commission[36]

Results

[edit]
2026 Ohio's 6th congressional district election
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Republican Michael Rulli (incumbent)
Democratic Elizabeth Kirtley
Total votes

District 7

[edit]
2026 Ohio's 7th congressional district election
← 2024
2028 →
 
Nominee Max Miller Brian Poindexter
Party Republican Democratic
Incumbent U.S. Representative

Max Miller
Republican


Ohio's 7th congressional district boundary from the 2026 elections
Interactive map version

The 7th district stretches from exurban Cleveland to rural areas in north central Ohio, including Medina, Ashland, and Wooster. The incumbent is Republican Max Miller, who was re-elected with 51.10% of the vote in 2024.

Republican primary

[edit]

Nominee

[edit]

Withdrawn

[edit]
  • Jonah Schulz, author[86]

Endorsements

[edit]
Max Miller

Executive branch officials

Organizations

Fundraising

[edit]

Italics indicate a withdrawn candidate.

Campaign finance reports as of June 30, 2026
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Max Miller (R) $2,142,561 $937,959 $1,379,131
Jonah Schulz (R) $15,510 $15,510 $0
Source: Federal Election Commission[89]

Results

[edit]
Republican primary results[22]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Max Miller (incumbent) 50,345 100.0
Total votes 50,345 100.0

Democratic primary

[edit]

Nominee

[edit]

Eliminated in primary

[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]
Michael Eisner

Organizations

Newspapers

Brian Poindexter

U.S. senators

U.S. representatives

State legislators

Labor unions

Organizations

Political parties
Laura Rodriguez-Carbone

Organizations

Fundraising

[edit]
Campaign finance reports as of June 30, 2026
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Brian Poindexter (D) $603,155 $290,865 $312,290
Michael Eisner (D) $69,930 $69,930 $0
Ed FitzGerald (D) $281,271 $295,882 $0
Scott Schulz (D) $30,866 $31,735 $0
Source: Federal Election Commission[89]

Results

[edit]
Democratic primary results[15]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Brian Poindexter 23,167 37.0
Democratic Ed FitzGerald 13,505 21.6
Democratic Laura Rodriguez-Carbone 7,719 12.3
Democratic Michael Eisner 7,361 11.8
Democratic Ann Marie Donegan 6,562 10.5
Democratic Scott Schulz 2,698 4.3
Democratic John Butchko 907 1.5
Democratic Keith Mundy 697 1.1
Total votes 62,616 100.0

Libertarian primary

[edit]

Eliminated in primary

[edit]
  • Brian Duvall-Gambino, motivational speaker and life coach (write-in)[85]

Results

[edit]
Libertarian primary results[25]
Party Candidate Votes %
Libertarian Brian Duvall-Gambino (write-in) 23 100.0
Total votes 23 100.0

Independents

[edit]

Write-ins

[edit]

General election

[edit]

Campaign

[edit]

In late July 2026, Miller began to face calls from state and national Republicans to drop out of the race following national news reports of abuse allegations by his ex-wife.[109][110][111] The allegations, which he denies, include scalding his wife with hot water, holding a gun to her head, pushing her and hitting her head against a wall, and breaking the collarbone and bruising the shoulder of their two-year-old daughter.[109][112][111] Following the allegations, Miller sued his ex-wife for defamation.[111] On August 8, 2026 at 4pm EDT, Miller remained in the race. According to Ohio state law, this means the Republican Party can no longer replace him as the candidate on the general election ballot.[113]

Predictions

[edit]
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[32] Tossup August 10, 2026
Decision Desk HQ[31] Tossup July 14, 2026
Inside Elections[33] Tossup August 10, 2026
Sabato's Crystal Ball[34] Tossup August 8, 2026

Post-primary endorsements

[edit]
Max Miller (R)
U.S. representatives
Individuals
Labor unions
Brian Poindexter (D)
Executive branch officials
U.S. representatives
Labor unions
Organizations
Declined to endorse
U.S. senators
U.S. representatives
Statewide officials

Fundraising

[edit]
Campaign finance reports as of June 30, 2026
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Max Miller (R) $2,142,561 $937,959 $1,379,131
Brian Poindexter (D) $603,155 $290,865 $312,290
Source: Federal Election Commission[36]

Polling

[edit]
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[a]		 Margin
of error		 Max
Miller (R)		 Brian
Poindexter (D)		 Other Undecided
Bedrock Polling (D)[128][A] August 7–10, 2026 866 (LV) ± 3.7% 35% 43% 6%[f] 16%
co/efficient (R)[129] August 5–6, 2026 615 (LV) ± 4.0% 33% 47% — 20%
Tavern Research (D)[130] August 4–5, 2026 635 (LV) ± 4.8% 46% 54% — —
co/efficient (R)[131][129] July 29–30, 2026 — (LV) ± 3.8% 39% 44% — 16%
July 28, 2026 Miller abuse allegations reported in national news
GBAO (D)[132][B] June 16–20, 2026 500 (LV) ± 3.5% 44% 43% — 13%
Hypothetical polling

Brian Poindexter vs. generic Republican vs. generic Libertarian

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[a]		 Margin
of error		 Generic
Republican		 Brian
Poindexter		 Generic
Libertarian		 Undecided
Bedrock Polling (D)[128][A] August 7–10, 2026 866 (LV) ± 3.7% 44% 39% 1% 15%

Generic Republican vs. generic Democrat vs. generic Libertarian

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[a]		 Margin
of error		 Generic
Republican		 Generic
Democrat		 Generic
Libertarian		 Undecided
Bedrock Polling (D)[128][A] August 7–10, 2026 866 (LV) ± 3.7% 44% 43% 2% 11%

Generic Republican vs. generic Democrat

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[a]		 Margin
of error		 Generic
Republican		 Generic
Democrat		 Undecided
Tavern Research (D)[130] August 4–5, 2026 635 (LV) ± 4.8% 50% 50% —

Results

[edit]
2026 Ohio's 7th congressional district election
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Republican Max Miller (incumbent)
Democratic Brian Poindexter
Total votes

District 8

[edit]
2026 Ohio's 8th congressional district election
← 2024
2028 →
 
Nominee Warren Davidson Vanessa Enoch
Party Republican Democratic
Incumbent U.S. Representative

Warren Davidson
Republican


Ohio's 8th congressional district boundary from the 2026 elections
Interactive map version

The 8th district takes in the northern and western suburbs of Cincinnati, including most of Butler County. The incumbent is Republican Warren Davidson, who was re-elected with 62.8% of the vote in 2024.

Republican primary

[edit]

Nominee

[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]
Warren Davidson

Executive branch officials

Fundraising

[edit]
Campaign finance reports as of December 31, 2025
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Warren Davidson (R) $416,340 $322,622 $488,418
Source: Federal Election Commission[135]

Results

[edit]
Republican primary results[22]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Warren Davidson (incumbent) 52,629 100.0
Total votes 52,629 100.0

Democratic primary

[edit]

Nominee

[edit]

Eliminated in primary

[edit]

Fundraising

[edit]
Campaign finance reports as of December 31, 2025
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Madaris Grant (D) $16,327 $13,355 $2,972
Source: Federal Election Commission[135]

Results

[edit]
Democratic primary results[15]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Vanessa Enoch 32,336 74.5
Democratic Madaris Grant 11,091 25.5
Total votes 43,427 100.0

General election

[edit]

Predictions

[edit]
Source Ranking As of
Decision Desk HQ[31] Likely R July 14, 2026
The Cook Political Report[32] Solid R November 2, 2025
Inside Elections[33] Solid R October 31, 2025
Sabato's Crystal Ball[34] Safe R April 10, 2025

Fundraising

[edit]
Campaign finance reports as of May 8, 2026
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Warren Davidson (R) $505,528 $451,202 $449,027
Vanessa Enoch (D) $0 $0 $0
Source: Federal Election Commission[36]

Results

[edit]
2026 Ohio's 8th congressional district election
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Republican Warren Davidson (incumbent)
Democratic Vanessa Enoch
Total votes

District 9

[edit]
2026 Ohio's 9th congressional district election
← 2024
2028 →
 
Nominee Marcy Kaptur Derek Merrin
Party Democratic Republican
Incumbent U.S. Representative

Marcy Kaptur
Democratic


Ohio's 9th congressional district boundary from the 2026 elections
Interactive map version

The 9th district is based in Northwest Ohio, including Toledo and the western Lake Erie coast. The incumbent is Democrat Marcy Kaptur, who was reelected with 48.3% of the vote in 2024. The district was redrawn in 2025 in an effort to flip the district to the Republican Party. Despite this, Kaptur announced she would seek reelection.

Democratic primary

[edit]

Nominee

[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]

Fundraising

[edit]
Campaign finance reports as of March 31, 2026
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Marcy Kaptur (D) $3,385,266 $741,277 $3,092,916
Source: Federal Election Commission[144]

Results

[edit]
Democratic primary results[15]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Marcy Kaptur (incumbent) 45,827 100.0
Total votes 45,827 100.0

Republican primary

[edit]

Nominee

[edit]

Eliminated in primary

[edit]

Declined

[edit]

Withdrawn

[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]
Derek Merrin

Executive branch officials

Alea Nadeem

U.S. senators

U.S. representatives

Madison Sheahan

Statewide officials

Organizations

Josh Williams

Statewide officials

State legislators

Fundraising

[edit]

Italics indicate a withdrawn candidate.

Campaign finance reports as of March 31, 2026
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Wayne Kinsel (R) $90,564 $57,544 $33,020
Derek Merrin (R) $757,425 $645,144 $188,933
Alea Nadeem (R) $690,049 $581,088 $108,961
Josh Williams (R) $851,766 $715,980 $135,786
Madison Sheahan (R) $157,829 $90,335 $67,494
Source: Federal Election Commission[144]

Polling

[edit]
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[a]		 Margin
of error		 Derek
Merrin		 Alea
Nadeem		 Madison
Sheahan		 Josh
Williams		 Undecided
J.L. Partners (R)[158] April 11–16, 2026 600 (LV) ± 4.1% 33% 4% 10% 14% 39%

Results

[edit]
Republican primary results[22]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Derek Merrin 25,092 44.1
Republican Josh Williams 14,419 25.3
Republican Madison Sheahan 11,501 20.2
Republican Alea Nadeem 3,109 5.5
Republican Anthony Campbell 2,800 4.9
Total votes 56,921 100.00

Libertarian primary

[edit]

Nominee

[edit]
  • Matthew Althaus, manufacturing manager[159]

Eliminated in primary

[edit]

Results

[edit]
Libertarian primary results[25]
Party Candidate Votes %
Libertarian Matthew Althaus 535 59.3
Libertarian David Gedert 368 40.7
Total votes 903 100.0

General election

[edit]

Predictions

[edit]
Source Ranking As of
Decision Desk HQ[31] Lean D July 14, 2026
The Cook Political Report[32] Tossup January 15, 2026
Inside Elections[33] Tilt R (flip) October 31, 2025
Sabato's Crystal Ball[34] Tossup May 6, 2026

Post-primary endorsements

[edit]
Marcy Kaptur (D)
Labor unions
Derek Merrin (R)
Organizations

Fundraising

[edit]
Campaign finance reports as of June 30, 2026
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Marcy Kaptur (D) $4,303,416 $1,260,674 $3,491,668
Derek Merrin (R) $1,508,953 $1,054,389 $531,214
Matthew Althaus (L) $0 $0 $0
Source: Federal Election Commission[144]

Polling

[edit]
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[a]		 Margin
of error		 Marcy
Kaptur (D)		 Derek
Merrin (R)		 Other Undecided
DCCC Analytics Department[162] September 22–23, 2026 481 (LV) ± 4.5% 48% 48% – 4%
McLaughlin & Associates (R)[163][C] April 18–20, 2026 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 43% 47% 3%[g] 7%

Results

[edit]
2026 Ohio's 9th congressional district election
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Democratic Marcy Kaptur (incumbent)
Republican Derek Merrin
Libertarian Matthew Althaus
Total votes

District 10

[edit]
2026 Ohio's 10th congressional district election
← 2024
2028 →
 
Nominee Mike Turner Kristina Knickerbocker
Party Republican Democratic
Incumbent U.S. Representative

Mike Turner
Republican


Ohio's 10th congressional district boundary from the 2026 elections
Interactive map version

The new 10th district encompasses the Dayton metro area, including Dayton and the surrounding suburbs, as well as Middletown. The incumbent is Republican Mike Turner, who was re-elected with 57.6% of the vote in 2024.

Republican primary

[edit]

Nominee

[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]
Mike Turner
Executive branch officials
Labor unions
Organizations

Fundraising

[edit]
Campaign finance reports as of March 31, 2026
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Mike Turner (R) $755,118 $627,509 $558,033
Source: Federal Election Commission[166]

Results

[edit]
Republican primary results[22]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Mike Turner (incumbent) 44,286 100.0
Total votes 44,286 100.0

Democratic primary

[edit]

Nominee

[edit]

Eliminated in primary

[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]
Kristina Knickerbocker

Organizations

Fundraising

[edit]
Campaign finance reports as of March 31, 2026
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Tony Pombo (D) $157,718[h] $16,186 $143,167
Kristina Knickerbocker (D) $115,579[i] $83,659 $31,920
Janice Beckett (D) $13,641[j] $8,941 $4,669
Jan Kinner (D) $11,360[k] $9,851 $1,509
David Esrati (D) $0 $0 $0
Source: Federal Election Commission[166]

Results

[edit]
Democratic primary results[15]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Kristina Knickerbocker 14,824 32.7
Democratic Janice Beckett 11,766 25.9
Democratic David Esrati 5,829 12.8
Democratic Jan Kinner 5,601 12.3
Democratic Tony Pombo 3,754 8.3
Democratic Manuel Foggie 3,606 8.0
Total votes 45,380 100.0

Libertarian primary

[edit]

Nominee

[edit]

Results

[edit]
Libertarian primary results[25]
Party Candidate Votes %
Libertarian Thomas McMasters 809 100.0
Total votes 809 100.0

General election

[edit]

Post-primary endorsements

[edit]
Kristina Knickerbocker (D)
U.S. senators
U.S. representatives
Organizations
Mike Turner (R)
Labor unions
Organizations

Predictions

[edit]
Source Ranking As of
Decision Desk HQ[31] Likely R July 14, 2026
The Cook Political Report[32] Likely R August 13, 2026
Inside Elections[33] Solid R October 31, 2025
Sabato's Crystal Ball[34] Likely R September 16, 2026

Fundraising

[edit]
Campaign finance reports as of June 30, 2026
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Mike Turner (R) $894,594 $768,735 $556,284
Kristina Knickerbocker (D) $362,665 $237,505 $125,159
Thomas McMasters (L) $22,086 $22,086 $0
Source: Federal Election Commission[36]

Polling

[edit]
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[a]		 Margin
of error		 Mike
Turner (R)		 Kristina
Knickerbocker (D)		 Thomas
McMasters (L)		 Undecided
Global Strategy Group (D)[178][D] July 20–23, 2026 700 (LV) ± 4.0% 49% 42% — 9%
45% 40% 4% 11%
FM3 Research (D)[179][E] July 6–12, 2026 535 (LV) — 48% 41% — 11%
Hypothetical polling

Generic Republican vs. generic Democrat

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[a]		 Margin
of error		 Generic
Republican		 Generic
Democrat		 Undecided
FM3 Research (D)[179][E] July 6–12, 2026 535 (LV) — 47% 48% 5%

Results

[edit]
2026 Ohio's 10th congressional district election
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Republican Mike Turner (incumbent)
Democratic Kristina Knickerbocker
Libertarian Thomas McMasters
Total votes

District 11

[edit]
2026 Ohio's 11th congressional district election
← 2024
2028 →
 
Nominee Shontel Brown Mike Kirchner
Party Democratic Republican
Incumbent U.S. Representative

Shontel Brown
Democratic


Ohio's 11th congressional district boundary from the 2026 elections
Interactive map version

The 11th district takes in Cleveland and its inner suburbs, including Euclid, Cleveland Heights, and Warrensville Heights. The incumbent is Democrat Shontel Brown, who was re-elected with 78.3% of the vote in 2024.

Democratic primary

[edit]

Nominee

[edit]

Eliminated in primary

[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]

Fundraising

[edit]
Campaign finance reports as of December 31, 2025
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Shontel Brown (D) $672,084 $439,230 $1,088,668
Source: Federal Election Commission[183]

Results

[edit]
Democratic primary results[15]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Shontel Brown (incumbent) 70,357 85.5
Democratic Ardelia Holmes 6,529 7.9
Democratic Sean Freeman 5,421 6.6
Total votes 82,307 100.0

Republican primary

[edit]

Nominee

[edit]
  • Mike Kirchner, retired consulting actuary[85]

Eliminated in primary

[edit]
  • James Hemphill, general contractor and candidate for this district in 2022 and 2024[184][85]

Results

[edit]
Republican primary results[22]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Mike Kirchner 6,949 65.6
Republican James Hemphill 3,648 34.4
Total votes 10,597 100.0

General election

[edit]

Post-primary endorsements

[edit]
Shontel Brown (D)
Labor unions
Organizations

Predictions

[edit]
Source Ranking As of
Decision Desk HQ[31] Safe D July 14, 2026
The Cook Political Report[32] Solid D November 2, 2025
Inside Elections[33] Solid D October 31, 2025
Sabato's Crystal Ball[34] Safe D April 10, 2025

Fundraising

[edit]
Campaign finance reports as of April 15, 2026
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Shontel Brown (D) $863,501 $692,383 $1,026,932
Mike Krichner (R) $0 $0 $0
Source: Federal Election Commission[36]

Results

[edit]
2026 Ohio's 11th congressional district election
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Democratic Shontel Brown (incumbent)
Republican Mike Krichner
Total votes

District 12

[edit]
2026 Ohio's 12th congressional district election
← 2024
2028 →
 
Nominee Troy Balderson Jerrad Christian
Party Republican Democratic
Incumbent U.S. Representative

Troy Balderson
Republican


Ohio's 12th congressional district boundary from the 2026 elections
Interactive map version

The 12th district encompasses area of Ohio east of the Columbus metro area, taking in Newark, Zanesville, and Mount Vernon. The incumbent is Republican Troy Balderson, who was re-elected with 68.6% of the vote in 2024.

Republican primary

[edit]

Nominee

[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]
Troy Balderson

Executive branch officials

Fundraising

[edit]
Campaign finance reports as of December 31, 2025
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Troy Balderson (R) $1,041,656 $500,413 $1,547,668
Source: Federal Election Commission[188]

Results

[edit]
Republican primary results[22]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Troy Balderson (incumbent) 64,907 100.0
Total votes 64,907 100.0

Democratic primary

[edit]

Nominee

[edit]
  • Jerrad Christian, IT specialist and nominee for this district in 2024[189][187]

Eliminated in primary

[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]
Jerrad Christian

Organizations

Fundraising

[edit]
Campaign finance reports as of December 31, 2025
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Jerrad Christian (D) $15,359 $7,401 $11,715
Source: Federal Election Commission[188]

Results

[edit]
Democratic primary results[15]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Jerrad Christian 15,961 46.4
Democratic Daniel Crawford 11,546 33.6
Democratic Jason Reynard 6,899 20.0
Total votes 34,406 100.0

General election

[edit]

Predictions

[edit]
Source Ranking As of
Decision Desk HQ[31] Safe R July 14, 2026
The Cook Political Report[32] Solid R November 2, 2025
Inside Elections[33] Solid R October 31, 2025
Sabato's Crystal Ball[34] Safe R April 10, 2025

Fundraising

[edit]
Campaign finance reports as of July 15, 2026
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Troy Balderson (R) $1,743,281 $767,354 $1,982,352
Jerrad Christian (D) $84,378 $69,210 $18,925
Source: Federal Election Commission[36]

Results

[edit]
2026 Ohio's 12th congressional district election
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Republican Troy Balderson (incumbent)
Democratic Jerrad Christian
Total votes

District 13

[edit]
2026 Ohio's 13th congressional district election
← 2024
2028 →
 
Nominee Emilia Sykes Carey Coleman
Party Democratic Republican
Incumbent U.S. Representative

Emilia Sykes
Democratic


Ohio's 13th congressional district boundary from the 2026 elections
Interactive map version

The 13th district includes most of the Akron-Canton population corridor, taking in all of Summit County and parts of Portage and Stark Counties. The incumbent is Democrat Emilia Sykes, who was re-elected with 51.1% of the vote in 2024.

Democratic primary

[edit]

Nominee

[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]

Fundraising

[edit]
Campaign finance reports as of December 31, 2025
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Emilia Sykes (D) $1,840,007 $663,098 $1,299,587
Source: Federal Election Commission[197]

Results

[edit]
Democratic primary results[15]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Emilia Sykes (incumbent) 62,768 100.0
Total votes 62,768 100.0

Republican primary

[edit]

Nominee

[edit]
  • Carey Coleman, radio host[198]

Eliminated in primary

[edit]
  • Margaret Briem, businesswoman and Summit county council candidate in 2022[199]
  • Sanjin Drakovac, physician[200]
  • Neil Patel, businessman[201][202]
  • Kevin Siembida, mayor of Leetonia (2016–present)[203]

Withdrawn

[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]
Carey Coleman

Party chapters

Kevin Siembida

U.S. representatives

Kevin Coughlin (Withdrawn)

U.S. senators

U.S. representatives

Fundraising

[edit]

Italics indicate a withdrawn candidate

Campaign finance reports as of December 31, 2025
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Margaret Briem (R) $2,939 $1,630 $1,308
Kevin Coughlin (R) $561,363 $333,565 $284,416
Source: Federal Election Commission[197]

Results

[edit]
Republican primary results[22]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Carey Coleman 20,322 47.3
Republican Kevin Siembida 8,062 18.7
Republican Margaret Briem 7,274 16.9
Republican Neil Patel 6,238 14.5
Republican Sanjin Drakovac 1,105 2.6
Total votes 43,001 100.0

Independents

[edit]

Filed paperwork

[edit]
  • Sandeep Dixit, software architect[208]

Fundraising

[edit]
Campaign finance reports as of December 31, 2025
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Sandeep Dixit (I) $26,801 $19,521 $7,279
Source: Federal Election Commission[197]

General election

[edit]

Post-primary endorsements

[edit]
Emilia Sykes (D)
Labor unions

Predictions

[edit]
Source Ranking As of
Decision Desk HQ[31] Likely D July 14, 2026
The Cook Political Report[32] Likely D April 7, 2026
Inside Elections[33] Solid D March 12, 2026
Sabato's Crystal Ball[34] Likely D March 26, 2026

Fundraising

[edit]
Campaign finance reports as of April 15, 2026
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Emilia Sykes (D) $2,596,657 $1,065,272 $1,654,063
Carey Coleman (R) $73,715 $9,244 $64,471
Source: Federal Election Commission[36]

Results

[edit]
2026 Ohio's 13th congressional district election
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Democratic Emilia Sykes (incumbent)
Republican Carey Coleman
Independent Sandeep Dixit
Total votes

District 14

[edit]
2026 Ohio's 14th congressional district election
← 2024
2028 →
 
Nominee David Joyce Maria Jukic
Party Republican Democratic
Incumbent U.S. Representative

David Joyce
Republican


Ohio's 14th congressional district boundary from the 2026 elections
Interactive map version

The 14th district is located in Northeast Ohio, taking in the eastern suburbs and exurbs of Cleveland, Ohio. The incumbent is Republican David Joyce, who was re-elected with 63.4% of the vote in 2024.

Republican primary

[edit]

Nominee

[edit]

Eliminated in primary

[edit]

Withdrawn

[edit]
  • Mark Zetzer, field technician and nominee for the 11th district in 2014[212]

Endorsements

[edit]
David Joyce

Executive branch officials

Organizations

Fundraising

[edit]
Campaign finance reports as of December 31, 2025
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
David Joyce (R) $767,292 $249,183 $3,260,984
Source: Federal Election Commission[213]

Results

[edit]
Republican primary results[22]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican David Joyce (incumbent) 49,119 70.3
Republican Nicole Frenchko 20,744 29.7
Total votes 69,863 100.0

Democratic primary

[edit]

Nominee

[edit]

Eliminated in primary

[edit]

Results

[edit]
Democratic primary results[15]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Maria Jukic 25,119 50.8
Democratic Bill O'Neill 17,726 35.8
Democratic Carl Setzer 6,651 13.4
Total votes 49,496 100.0

General election

[edit]

Post-primary endorsements

[edit]
David Joyce (R)
Labor unions
Organizations

Predictions

[edit]
Source Ranking As of
Decision Desk HQ[31] Safe R July 14, 2026
The Cook Political Report[32] Solid R November 2, 2025
Inside Elections[33] Solid R October 31, 2025
Sabato's Crystal Ball[34] Safe R April 10, 2025

Fundraising

[edit]
Campaign finance reports as of April 15, 2026
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
David Joyce (R) $1,097,010 $924,621 $2,916,264
Maria Jukic (D) $21,056 $13,979 $7,076
Source: Federal Election Commission[36]

Results

[edit]
2026 Ohio's 14th congressional district election
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Republican David Joyce (incumbent)
Democratic Maria Jukic
Total votes

District 15

[edit]
2026 Ohio's 15th congressional district election
← 2024
2028 →
 
Nominee Mike Carey Don Leonard
Party Republican Democratic
Incumbent U.S. Representative

Mike Carey
Republican


Ohio's 15th congressional district boundary from the 2026 elections
Interactive map version

The 15th district encompasses the southwestern Columbus metro area, taking in the western, southern, and some northern suburbs of Columbus, including Dublin, Hilliard, and Grove City. The incumbent is Republican Mike Carey, who was re-elected with 56.5% of the vote in 2024.

Republican primary

[edit]

Nominee

[edit]

Eliminated in primary

[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]
Mike Carey
Executive branch officials
Organizations
Political parties

Fundraising

[edit]
Campaign finance reports as of March 31, 2026
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Mike Carey (R) $2,509,555 $1,127,899 $1,542,951
Source: Federal Election Commission[222]

Results

[edit]
Republican primary results[22]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Mike Carey (incumbent) 39,446 100.0
Total votes 39,446 100.0

Democratic primary

[edit]

Nominee

[edit]

Eliminated in primary

[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]
Don Leonard

Organizations

Adam Miller

Statewide officials

Labor unions

Organizations
Declined to endorse

Political parties

Fundraising

[edit]
Campaign finance reports as of March 31, 2026
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Don Leonard (D) $261,394 $114,946 $146,448
Adam Miller (D) $779,132 $367,790 $414,955
Source: Federal Election Commission[222]

Results

[edit]
Democratic primary results[15]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Don Leonard 23,798 52.9
Democratic Adam Miller 21,179 47.1
Total votes 44,977 100.0

Libertarian primary

[edit]

Nominee

[edit]

Results

[edit]
Libertarian primary results[25]
Party Candidate Votes %
Libertarian Brennan Barrington 489 100.0
Total votes 489 100.0

General election

[edit]

Post-primary endorsements

[edit]
Mike Carey (R)
Labor unions
Organizations
Don Leonard (D)
Organizations

Predictions

[edit]
Source Ranking As of
Decision Desk HQ[31] Likely R July 14, 2026
The Cook Political Report[32] Likely R August 13, 2026
Inside Elections[33] Likely R October 1, 2026
Sabato's Crystal Ball[34] Likely R September 29, 2026
The Economist[230] Lean R April 24, 2026

Fundraising

[edit]
Campaign finance reports as of June 30, 2026
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Mike Carey (R) $3,299,678 $1,404,260 $2,056,712
Don Leonard (D) $606,657 $354,255 $252,401
Brennan Barrington (L) $0 $0 $0
Source: Federal Election Commission[36]

Polling

[edit]
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[a]		 Margin
of error		 Mike
Carey (R)		 Don
Leonard (D)		 Brennan
Barrington (L)		 Undecided
Hart Research (D)[231][E] September 22–24, 2026 500 (LV) – 45% 46% – 9%
Hart Research (D)[232][F] August 6–9, 2026 401 (LV) ± 4.9% 41% 37% 10% 12%
Hart Research (D)[233][E] June 23–25, 2026 550 (LV) – 45% 40% 3% 12%
Hypothetical polling

Generic Republican vs. generic Democrat

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[a]		 Margin
of error		 Generic
Republican		 Generic
Democrat		 Undecided
Hart Research (D)[233][E] June 23–25, 2026 550 (LV) – 44% 47% 9%

Results

[edit]
2026 Ohio's 15th congressional district election
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Republican Mike Carey (incumbent)
Democratic Don Leonard
Libertarian Brennan Barrington
Total votes

See also

[edit]

Notes

[edit]
  1. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  2. ↑ "Another party's candidate" with 1%; "No response" with >1%
  3. ↑ "Someone else" with 1%
  4. ↑ With voters who lean towards a given candidate
  5. ↑ "Someone else" with 2%
  6. ↑ "Someone else" with 6%
  7. ↑ David Gedert (L) with 3%
  8. ↑ $125,000 of this total was self-funded by Pombo.
  9. ↑ $7,000 of this total was self-funded by Knickerbocker.
  10. ↑ $3,000 of this total was self-funded by Beckett.
  11. ↑ $10,815 of this total was self-funded by Kinner.

Partisan clients

  1. 1 2 3 Poll sponsored by International Association of Bridge, Structural, Ornamental and Reinforcing Iron Workers which supports Poindexter and The Next 50
  2. ↑ Poll sponsored by Poindexter's campaign
  3. ↑ Poll sponsored by the NRCC
  4. ↑ Poll sponsored by Knickerbocker's campaign
  5. 1 2 3 4 5 Poll sponsored by House Majority PAC, which is focused on electing Democrats to the U.S. House of Representatives
  6. ↑ Poll sponsored by Leonard's campaign.

References

[edit]
  1. ↑ "2026 State Primary Election Dates". NCSL. May 9, 2025. Retrieved August 5, 2025.
  2. ↑ Pelzer, Jeremy (October 31, 2025). "Ohio Redistricting Commission unanimously OKs map of new congressional districts". Cleveland.com. Retrieved November 14, 2025.{{cite news}}: CS1 maint: url-status (link)
  3. 1 2 Wendler, Jacob (October 31, 2025). "Republicans notch redistricting win in Ohio — but it could have been worse for Democrats". Politico. Retrieved October 31, 2025.
  4. ↑ "Democrats Lead in Ohio's Senate & Gubernatorial Contests... Impressions of Trump Loom Large". Marist University. September 29, 2026. Retrieved September 29, 2026.
  5. ↑ Solender, Andrew (April 10, 2025). "A growing wave of House members is grasping for higher office". Axios. Retrieved April 10, 2025.
  6. ↑ Glynn, Erin; Moorwood, Victoria (February 4, 2026). "Greg Landsman will face Damon Lynch IV in congressional primary". Cincinnati Enquirer. Retrieved February 8, 2026.
  7. 1 2 3 4 5 6 "AFGE Endorses 7 Congressional Candidates from Ohio Ahead of Next Tuesday's Primary Election". American Federation of Government Employees. April 28, 2026. Retrieved September 7, 2026.
  8. 1 2 3 4 "AIPAC Political Portal". candidates.aipacpac.org. Retrieved February 21, 2026.
  9. 1 2 3 4 "Endorsees". DMFI PAC. Retrieved December 17, 2025.
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  207. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 Nir, David (June 13, 2025). "Morning Digest: Kansas Democrats land first major contender for governor's race". The Downballot. Retrieved June 13, 2025.
  208. ↑ "FEC Form 2 for Report FEC-1913539". docquery.fec.gov. Retrieved November 1, 2025.
  209. ↑ "FEC Form 2 for Report FEC-1870685". docquery.fec.gov. Retrieved September 30, 2025.
  210. ↑ "FEC Form 2 for Report FEC-1933282". docquery.fec.gov. Retrieved January 16, 2026.
  211. 1 2 3 4 "Candidate List" (PDF). Ohio Secretary of State.
  212. ↑ Rogers-Vadala, Katie (February 25, 2026). "Mark Zetzer withdraws from congressional race". WFMJ. Retrieved February 25, 2026.
  213. ↑ "2026 Election United States House - Ohio 14th". fec.gov. Federal Election Commission. Retrieved March 5, 2026.
  214. ↑ Skolnick, David (February 5, 2026). "Candidates abound for Valley's pair of congressional seats". The Vindicator. Retrieved February 13, 2026.
  215. ↑ Pelzer, Jeremy (March 13, 2025). "Ex-Ohio Supreme Court Justice Bill O'Neill to challenge Rep. Dave Joyce in 2026". Cleveland.com. Retrieved March 17, 2025.
  216. ↑ "FEC Form 2 for Report FEC-1935347". docquery.fec.gov. Retrieved January 26, 2026.
  217. ↑ Smith, Diane (February 21, 2026). "Portage Democrats set town hall to address local, statewide candidates". Record-Courier. Retrieved February 23, 2026. William O'Neill and Carl Setzer, candidates for Ohio's 14th Congressional District.
  218. ↑ "U.S. Chamber Endorses Rep. David Joyce for Ohio's Fourteenth District on National Free Enterprise Express Opportunity Tour". September 25, 2026. Retrieved October 2, 2026.
  219. ↑ "FEC Form 2 for Report FEC-1848890". docquery.fec.gov. Retrieved September 17, 2025.
  220. 1 2 3 4 5 "Candidate List" (PDF). Ohio Secretary of State.
  221. ↑ Newman, Jeremy (March 28, 2026). "Pickaway County Republicans Announce Primary Endorsements". Scioto Post. Retrieved September 7, 2026.
  222. 1 2 "2026 Election United States House - Ohio 15th". fec.gov. Federal Election Commission. Retrieved March 5, 2026.
  223. ↑ Marshall, Colleen; Gribble, Rachel (October 26, 2025). "Sunday Briefing: Ohio gerrymandering; shutdown continues; 15th district candidates". WCMH. Retrieved November 28, 2025.
  224. ↑ Kasler, Karen (August 20, 2025). "Progressive groups blast DeWine for sending Ohio National Guard to D.C. at Trumps' request". The Statehouse News Bureau. Retrieved October 19, 2025.
  225. ↑ "Ohio Endorsements". cairaction.org/ohio. Retrieved April 26, 2026.
  226. ↑ "Largest Federal Employee Union Endorses Adam Miller for Election to Congress". cairaction.org/ohio. January 30, 2026. Retrieved April 28, 2026.
  227. ↑ "2026 Endorsements". fcdp.org. Retrieved April 26, 2026.
  228. ↑ "U.S. Chamber Endorses Rep. Mike Carey for Ohio's Fifteenth District". September 25, 2026. Retrieved October 2, 2026.
  229. ↑ "End Citizens United Endorses Don Leonard for Ohio's 15th Congressional District". End Citizens United. June 18, 2026. Retrieved June 27, 2026.
  230. ↑ "2026 House Predictions". economist.com. Retrieved April 26, 2026.
  231. ↑ Warnke, CJ (September 28, 2026). "🚨NEW @HouseMajPAC poll in #OH15🚨". Twitter. Retrieved September 30, 2026.
  232. ↑ Kashinsky, Lisa; Howard, Andrew (August 17, 2026). "Is it Dans Sullivan or Dan Sullivans?". Politico. Retrieved August 17, 2026.
  233. 1 2 "HMP Poll: Don Leonard Within Striking Distance of Mike Carey in OH-15". House Majority PAC. July 6, 2026. Retrieved July 7, 2026.
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